Nabors Industries (NBR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NBR - Nabors Industries Ltd.
$81.03
3.23 (4.15%)
▲
5d:
+3.62%
30d:
-2.36%
90d:
+3.03%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 26.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 26.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.23
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.07
6.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NBR is currently trading at $81.03, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.27 to $84.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.2) compared to its historical average (50.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 26.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NBR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NBR scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.38 (+32.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NBR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NBR scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.38 (+32.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$78.27 -
$84.16
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($107.38)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.27 -
$84.16
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.67
Resistance Level
$83.13
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.24
Wall Street Target
$107.38
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Profit Margin
7.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-26.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 50.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-26.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.93
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$65.63
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$59.07
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→51)
$147.96
(+83%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.60
Bull Case
$42.79
(-47%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 6.8
Base Case
$38.90
(-52%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 6.2
Bear Case
$52.90
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.2 to 50.7
Stabilization Target:
$202.97
(+150.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+150.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 2:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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