Nabors Industries (NBR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NBR - Nabors Industries Ltd.
$79.64
-0.19 (-0.24%)
▼
5d:
-2.08%
30d:
-16.7%
90d:
+4.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NBR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NBR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.45
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NBR is currently trading at $79.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.68 to $92.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.1) compared to its historical average (55.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 26.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NBR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.17, while resistance sits at $85.28.
Market Sentiment: NBR scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.62 (+33.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NBR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.17, while resistance sits at $85.28.
Market Sentiment: NBR scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.62 (+33.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$81.68 -
$92.01
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.9% below Wall St target ($106.62)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 28% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.68 -
$92.01
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.17
Resistance Level
$85.28
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.06
Wall Street Target
$106.63
(+33.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Profit Margin
7.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-26.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.1 vs 55.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-26.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.68
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$64.51
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$58.06
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→55)
$145.53
(+83%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.14
Bull Case
$43.91
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 5.8
Base Case
$39.92
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 5.3
Bear Case
$54.28
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.1 to 55.3
Stabilization Target:
$199.63
(+150.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+150.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 10:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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