Patterson-UTI Energy (PTEN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PTEN - Patterson-UTI Energy Inc

DRILLING OIL & GAS WELLS
$11.16
-0.14 (-1.24%) ▼
5d: +2.29%
30d: -15.13%
90d: +30.37%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026 25d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PTEN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.27
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.38
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PTEN is currently trading at $11.16, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.19 to $12.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 38.5) compared to its historical average (101.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 27.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PTEN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.46, while resistance sits at $11.64.

Market Sentiment: PTEN scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.07 (+24.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $11.19 - $12.69
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.5% below Wall St target ($14.07)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 25% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.19 - $12.69
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.46
Resistance Level $11.64
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 38.53
Wall Street Target $14.07 (+24.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -97.9%
Profit Margin -1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -27.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 38.5 vs 101.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -27.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.17 (-10%)
2-Year Target $9.15 (-19%)
3-Year Target $8.24 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 39→101) $21.64 (+92%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 38.5 to 101.2
Stabilization Target: $29.68 (+162.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +162.7%
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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