Patterson-UTI Energy (PTEN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PTEN - Patterson-UTI Energy Inc

DRILLING OIL & GAS WELLS
$12.85
-0.05 (-0.39%) ▼
5d: +2.39%
30d: +16.61%
90d: +11.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PTEN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.26
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.37
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PTEN is currently trading at $12.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.73 to $12.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 43.9) compared to its historical average (111.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 26.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PTEN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.11, while resistance sits at $13.39.

Market Sentiment: PTEN scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $10.73 - $12.77
Company Quality Score 28/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.07)
  • WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.73 - $12.77
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.11
Resistance Level $13.39
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 43.86
Wall Street Target $14.07 (+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -97.9%
Profit Margin -1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -26.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 43.9 vs 111.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -26.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.56 (-10%)
2-Year Target $10.41 (-19%)
3-Year Target $9.37 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 44→111) $23.77 (+85%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 43.9 to 111.3
Stabilization Target: $32.61 (+153.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +153.8%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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