SDRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SDRL - Seadrill Limited
$47.29
-0.60 (-1.25%)
▼
5d:
-1.44%
30d:
+3.91%
90d:
-8.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SDRL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SDRL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$118.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.41
35.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SDRL is currently trading at $47.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.37 to $46.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.08, while resistance sits at $48.95.
Market Sentiment: SDRL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.33 (+11.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.08, while resistance sits at $48.95.
Market Sentiment: SDRL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.33 (+11.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$42.37 -
$46.64
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($53.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.37 -
$46.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.08
Resistance Level
$48.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.96
Wall Street Target
$53.33
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 17.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.25
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$40.89
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$37.78
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→18)
$47.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 363.7%)
$232.34
(+385%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 363.7%)
$161.63
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 363.7%)
$137.38
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (92x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 91.74 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.52
Bull Case
$57.10
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 96.3
Base Case
$47.29
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 91.7
Bear Case
$36.18
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 82.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$60.71
(+26.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SDRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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