SDRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SDRL - Seadrill Limited
$43.11
-1.74 (-3.87%)
▼
5d:
+0.29%
30d:
+8.11%
90d:
-12.58%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SDRL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SDRL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$121.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.67
43.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SDRL is currently trading at $43.10, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.28 to $43.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.49, while resistance sits at $45.88. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SDRL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.25 (+25.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.49, while resistance sits at $45.88. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SDRL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.25 (+25.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$39.28 -
$43.87
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.4% below Wall St target ($56.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.28 -
$43.87
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.49
Resistance Level
$45.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.90
Wall Street Target
$56.25
(+25.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Profit Margin
-5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 18.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.36
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$36.32
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$32.69
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→18)
$45.62
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 225.8%)
$243.24
(+443%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 225.8%)
$151.34
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 225.8%)
$128.63
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$62.58
(+39.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SDRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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