Seadrill (SDRL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SDRL - Seadrill Limited
$49.19
0.02 (0.04%)
▲
5d:
+6.26%
30d:
+5.94%
90d:
+9.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SDRL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SDRL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.06
30.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SDRL is currently trading at $49.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.17 to $48.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SDRL scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SDRL scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$45.17 -
$48.20
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($54.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.17 -
$48.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.09
Resistance Level
$50.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.23
Wall Street Target
$54.00
(+9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 17.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.39
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$43.74
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$41.25
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→17)
$49.28
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 289.2%)
$231.71
(+371%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 289.2%)
$166.02
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 289.2%)
$141.11
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.10 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.49
Bull Case
$59.40
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$49.19
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$37.63
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$58.77
(+19.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SDRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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