Seadrill (SDRL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SDRL - Seadrill Limited
$47.90
-0.56 (-1.16%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.33%
30d:
+2.53%
90d:
+7.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SDRL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SDRL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.08
31.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SDRL is currently trading at $47.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.91 to $49.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (17.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SDRL scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+12.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SDRL scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+12.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$44.91 -
$49.14
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($54.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.91 -
$49.14
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.32
Resistance Level
$51.08
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.38
Wall Street Target
$54.00
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 17.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.93
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$42.14
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$39.53
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â17)
$47.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 310.4%)
$226.73
(+373%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 310.4%)
$161.66
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 310.4%)
$137.41
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.60 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.28
Bull Case
$57.84
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$47.90
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$36.64
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 17.4
Stabilization Target:
$57.95
(+21.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SDRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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