SDRL
Seadrill Limited
DRILLING OIL & GAS WELLS
Seadrill (SDRL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$44.31
+0.59 (+1.35%)
▲
5d:
+2.29%
30d:
-9.57%
90d:
-5.74%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$43.97 – $50.42
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.6x
CHEAP
vs 16.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$55.00
+24.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$40.87 / $54.62
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: SDRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.48
38.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SDRL is currently trading at $44.31, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.97 to $50.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.87, while resistance sits at $54.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+24.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.87, while resistance sits at $54.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+24.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$43.97 -
$50.42
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$43.97 -
$50.42
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$40.87
Resistance Level
$54.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.1% below Wall St target ($55.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.59
Wall Street Target
$55.00
(+24.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Profit Margin
-1.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 16.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.28
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$36.61
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$33.28
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$44.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 144.4%)
$235.86
(+432%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 144.4%)
$149.55
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 144.4%)
$127.11
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.58 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.00
Bull Case
$49.65
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$41.12
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$31.46
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$59.12
(+33.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SDRL)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish sentiment prevails on StockTwits as traders identify a Harami candlestick pattern in $SDRL, signaling a potential reversal from the downtrend. No newsworthy events or articles were detected.
Key Retail Themes:
technical analysis
reversal patterns
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SDRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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