Seadrill (SDRL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SDRL - Seadrill Limited
$43.85
-1.21 (-2.69%)
▼
5d:
-3.77%
30d:
-13.15%
90d:
+14.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SDRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SDRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.89
37.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SDRL is currently trading at $43.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.68 to $48.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (17.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SDRL scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+23.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SDRL scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.00 (+23.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$45.68 -
$48.96
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($54.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 27% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.68 -
$48.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.64
Resistance Level
$47.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.05
Wall Street Target
$54.00
(+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 17.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.99
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$36.47
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$33.26
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$43.85
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 297.8%)
$231.38
(+428%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 297.8%)
$147.99
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 297.8%)
$125.79
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.10 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.11
Bull Case
$52.95
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$43.85
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$33.55
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 17.2
Stabilization Target:
$57.80
(+31.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SDRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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