NRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NRC - National Research Corporation Common Stock (Delaware)
$21.63
0.25 (1.17%)
▲
5d:
+7.34%
30d:
+6.29%
90d:
+1.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.39
14.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NRC is currently trading at $21.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.15 to $21.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $21.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NRC scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+21.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NRC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $21.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NRC scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+21.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$20.15 -
$21.51
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.6% below Wall St target ($26.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 4.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.15 -
$21.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.97
Resistance Level
$21.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.36
Wall Street Target
$26.00
(+21.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.0%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
20.4 vs 20.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.51
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$21.64
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$21.77
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.38
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 218.2%)
$72.16
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 218.2%)
$70.38
(+229%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 218.2%)
$59.82
(+180%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.21 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.24
Bull Case
$25.82
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$21.38
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$16.36
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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