Insperity (NSP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NSP - Insperity, Inc
$48.73
-1.01 (-2.03%)
▼
5d:
+4.84%
30d:
-2.19%
90d:
+0.7%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NSP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NSP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NSP is currently trading at $48.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.45 to $50.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (14.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NSP scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NSP scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$47.45 -
$50.88
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
26th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 26th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($51.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.7% growth with 1.7% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.45 -
$50.88
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.89
(10.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.66
Resistance Level
$50.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.06
Wall Street Target
$51.75
(+6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.3%
Profit Margin
-0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.7% premium
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 14.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.97
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$57.58
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$62.59
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.85
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.7%)
$111.45
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 27.7%)
$101.37
(+108%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 27.7%)
$79.12
(+62%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 12, 2026 4:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NSP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NSP price and gamma walls.
