NSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NSP - Insperity, Inc

SERVICES-HELP SUPPLY SERVICES
$52.79
0.65 (1.25%) ▲
5d: +1.13%
30d: +10.03%
90d: +71.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NSP trades at premium valuation expecting 14.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$69.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.06
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NSP is currently trading at $52.79, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.29 to $52.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.6) compared to its historical average (13.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NSP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $49.29 - $52.93
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($51.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 14.1% growth with 1.7% revenue growth
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (57/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $49.29 - $52.93
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.73 (7.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $49.20
Resistance Level $54.28
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.57
Wall Street Target $51.75 (-2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -35.3%
Profit Margin -0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +14.1% premium
PE vs Historical 19.6 vs 13.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +14.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $60.23 (+14%)
2-Year Target $68.73 (+30%)
3-Year Target $78.42 (+49%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→13) PE COMPRESSION $52.90 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 27.7%) $112.63 (+113%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 27.7%) $109.81 (+108%)
Bear: (PE: 13.2, Growth: 27.7%) $74.07 (+40%)
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Paul J Sarvadi BUY 25000 shares 2026-03-19
Paul J Sarvadi BUY 160000 shares 2026-03-18
Paul J Sarvadi BUY 16987 shares 2026-03-17

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Advanced NSP Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NSP price and gamma walls.

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