NSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NSP - Insperity, Inc

SERVICES-HELP SUPPLY SERVICES
$34.11
-2.11 (-5.83%) ▼
5d: -6.8%
30d: +7.91%
90d: +39.4%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NSP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.90
16.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NSP is currently trading at $34.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.07 to $36.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NSP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $31.37, while resistance sits at $37.34. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.50 (+15.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $32.07 - $36.56
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.6%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 1.7% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.8% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $32.07 - $36.56
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.15 (9.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.37
Resistance Level $37.35
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.20
Wall Street Target $39.50 (+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -35.3%
Profit Margin -0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium
PE vs Historical 12.2 vs 12.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $34.21 (+0%)
2-Year Target $34.31 (+1%)
3-Year Target $34.42 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→12) PE COMPRESSION $34.13 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 36.1%) $153.54 (+350%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 36.1%) $86.01 (+152%)
Bear: (PE: 10.4, Growth: 36.1%) $73.11 (+114%)
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:14 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Paul J Sarvadi BUY 25000 shares 2026-03-19
Paul J Sarvadi BUY 160000 shares 2026-03-18
Paul J Sarvadi BUY 16987 shares 2026-03-17

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Advanced NSP Option Strategies

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