NSP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NSP - Insperity, Inc

SERVICES-HELP SUPPLY SERVICES
$50.61
-3.42 (-6.33%) ▼
5d: +4.67%
30d: +14.84%
90d: +42.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NSP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.86
Based on 14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.03
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NSP is currently trading at $50.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.95 to $50.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.6) compared to its historical average (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NSP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.54, while resistance sits at $55.90. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $40.95 - $50.95
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 42.4%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.3%)
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($46.25)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 15.4% growth with 1.7% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $40.95 - $50.95
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $47.54
Resistance Level $55.90
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.58
Wall Street Target $46.25 (-8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -35.3%
Profit Margin -0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +15.4% premium
PE vs Historical 19.6 vs 12.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +15.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $58.40 (+15%)
2-Year Target $67.40 (+33%)
3-Year Target $77.78 (+54%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→13) PE COMPRESSION $50.44 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 24.2%) $102.56 (+103%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 24.2%) $96.88 (+91%)
Bear: (PE: 12.7, Growth: 24.2%) $62.83 (+24%)
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 5:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Paul J Sarvadi BUY 25000 shares 2026-03-19
Paul J Sarvadi BUY 160000 shares 2026-03-18
Paul J Sarvadi BUY 16987 shares 2026-03-17

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Advanced NSP Option Strategies

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