Insperity (NSP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$50.33
-0.54 (-1.07%)
▼
5d:
-2.64%
30d:
+1.87%
90d:
-6.41%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect NSP Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$48.21 – $52.21
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.9x
STRETCHED
vs 14.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$51.50
+1.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
15th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$43.88 / $54.08
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: NSP trades at premium valuation expecting 9.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NSP is currently trading at $50.33, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.21 to $52.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.9) compared to its historical average (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.88, while resistance sits at $54.08.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NSP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.88, while resistance sits at $54.08.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$48.21 -
$52.21
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
15th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$48.21 -
$52.21
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.28
(8.5%)
Support Level
$43.88
Resistance Level
$54.08
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding NSP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 15th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($51.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.2% growth with 1.7% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.91
Wall Street Target
$51.50
(+1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.2% premium
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 14.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.55
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$60.66
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$66.24
(+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$50.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.8%)
$111.39
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 27.8%)
$106.08
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 27.8%)
$81.33
(+60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 18.52 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.75
Bull Case
$61.43
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$50.87
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$38.92
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NSP)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Investor $UserName reported a positive earnings surprise for $NSP, with an adjusted EPS of $0.22 versus an estimated $0.21. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings surprise
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NSP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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