NWE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWE - NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. Common Stock
$69.45
-1.36 (-1.92%)
▼
5d:
-3.29%
30d:
-4.27%
90d:
-3.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NWE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NWE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.95
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWE is currently trading at $69.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.88 to $72.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $69.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $69.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$69.88 -
$72.30
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($74.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.88 -
$72.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.26
Resistance Level
$72.26
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.51
Wall Street Target
$74.25
(+6.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
10.1%
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 17.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.45
(0%)
2-Year Target
$69.45
(0%)
3-Year Target
$69.45
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$69.41
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 5.7%)
$94.09
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 5.7%)
$82.09
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 5.7%)
$69.78
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.77
Bull Case
$111.53
(+61%)
Analyst growth 43.2%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case
$101.39
(+46%)
Market implied 43.2%, PE stable at 25.6
Bear Case
$48.15
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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