NWE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWE - NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. Common Stock
$73.70
0.50 (0.68%)
▲
5d:
+4.17%
30d:
+6.1%
90d:
+6.9%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.27
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWE is currently trading at $73.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.27 to $72.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (17.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$69.27 -
$72.45
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.92)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with 6.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.27 -
$72.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.49
Resistance Level
$72.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.44
Wall Street Target
$71.92
(-1.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.6%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 17.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.52
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$75.86
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$77.22
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$73.28
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.3%)
$103.94
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 6.3%)
$88.01
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 6.3%)
$74.81
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.72
Bull Case
$116.71
(+59%)
Analyst growth 45.9%, PE expands to 29.4
Base Case
$106.10
(+45%)
Market implied 45.9%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$49.44
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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