NorthWestern Energy Group (NWE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWE - NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. Common Stock
$77.29
0.16 (0.21%)
▲
5d:
+3.44%
30d:
+13.54%
90d:
+7.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NWE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NWE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.53
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWE is currently trading at $77.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.26 to $74.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (17.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $77.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWE scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $77.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWE scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$68.26 -
$74.72
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.36)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.26 -
$74.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.23
Resistance Level
$77.66
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.44
Wall Street Target
$76.36
(-1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.75
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$82.46
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$85.27
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$77.19
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.2%)
$94.42
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 6.2%)
$92.43
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 6.2%)
$78.56
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.80
Bull Case
$118.61
(+54%)
Analyst growth 41.7%, PE expands to 29.9
Base Case
$107.83
(+40%)
Market implied 41.7%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$51.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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