NorthWestern Energy Group (NWE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWE - NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. Common Stock
$69.27
0.74 (1.08%)
â˛
5d:
+0.62%
30d:
-1.31%
90d:
-0.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NWE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NWE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.70
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWE is currently trading at $69.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.46 to $70.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $65.84, while resistance sits at $71.42.
Market Sentiment: NWE scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $65.84, while resistance sits at $71.42.
Market Sentiment: NWE scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$68.46 -
$70.64
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($73.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.46 -
$70.64
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.84
Resistance Level
$71.42
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.48
Wall Street Target
$73.75
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 17.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.20
(0%)
2-Year Target
$69.13
(0%)
3-Year Target
$69.06
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â18)
$69.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 6.1%)
$96.56
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 6.1%)
$82.75
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 6.1%)
$70.34
(+2%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.77
Bull Case
$107.84
(+56%)
Analyst growth 43.1%, PE expands to 27.2
Base Case
$98.03
(+42%)
Market implied 43.1%, PE stable at 24.7
Bear Case
$46.60
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 17.5
Stabilization Target:
$69.34
(+0.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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