Omega Healthcare Investors (OHI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OHI - Omega Healthcare Investors Inc.
$45.23
-1.08 (-2.33%)
▼
5d:
-2.37%
30d:
-3.33%
90d:
-8.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OHI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OHI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.48
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OHI is currently trading at $45.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.16 to $47.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.4) is in line with its historical norms (22.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 161.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OHI scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.89 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OHI scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.89 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$46.16 -
$47.13
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OHI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.89)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.16 -
$47.13
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.15
Resistance Level
$47.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.36
Wall Street Target
$51.89
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
161.3%
Profit Margin
68.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.4 vs 22.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.00
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$44.78
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$44.55
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→23)
$45.23
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 2.2%)
$48.29
(+7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 2.2%)
$44.05
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 2.2%)
$37.44
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.80
Bull Case
$36.80
(-19%)
Analyst growth -27.8%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$33.45
(-26%)
Market implied -27.8%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$31.49
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.4 to 22.7
Stabilization Target:
$45.91
(+1.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 7:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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