OHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OHI - Omega Healthcare Investors Inc.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$47.38
0.97 (2.09%) ▲
5d: +4.13%
30d: -1.09%
90d: +5.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 6.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.85
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.44
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OHI is currently trading at $47.38, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.54 to $47.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.3) is in line with its historical norms (22.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: OHI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $44.54 - $47.74
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.65)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $44.54 - $47.74
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $43.15
Resistance Level $48.29
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.29
Wall Street Target $50.65 (+6.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 39.3%
Profit Margin 51.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.4% premium
PE vs Historical 23.3 vs 22.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $48.04 (+1%)
2-Year Target $48.72 (+3%)
3-Year Target $49.40 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→22) PE COMPRESSION $47.50 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.3, Growth: 2.8%) $51.45 (+9%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 2.8%) $48.10 (+2%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 2.8%) $40.89 (-14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.07
Bull Case $50.16 (+6%)
Analyst growth -1.7%, PE expands to 24.7
Base Case $45.60 (-4%)
Market implied -1.7%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case $31.56 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 6:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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