Welltower (WELL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$244.93
-2.42 (-0.98%)
▼
5d:
-0.2%
30d:
+5.5%
90d:
+4.0%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
0d
Protect WELL Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$227.52 – $243.53
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
78.0x
FAIR
vs 70.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$262.73
+7.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$234.17 / $249.75
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WELL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$122.09
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WELL is currently trading at $244.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $227.52 to $243.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 78.0) compared to its historical average (70.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WELL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $249.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WELL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WELL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $249.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WELL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$227.52 -
$243.53
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$227.52 -
$243.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$234.17
Resistance Level
$249.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding WELL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($262.73)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
78.00
Wall Street Target
$262.73
(+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.3%
Profit Margin
12.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
78.0 vs 70.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$252.77
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$260.86
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$269.20
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 78→71)
PE COMPRESSION
$244.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 78.0, Growth: 14.6%)
$368.62
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.6%)
$93.85
(-62%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 14.6%)
$79.77
(-67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (88x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (78x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 87.72 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.79
Bull Case
$295.75
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 92.1
Base Case
$244.93
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 87.7
Bear Case
$187.37
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 79.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (WELL)
Bearish
4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
3 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Stocks rose on Monday, led by technology shares, as investors returned to the sector despite concerns about heavy spending on AI infrastructure. The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 rebounded from losses in the previous two weeks, with the Nasdaq gaining 0.83% and the S&P 500 up 0.71%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.29%. The gains came after a bruising selloff in tech and AI-related stocks, and ahead of the Federal Reserve policy decision and a busy week of corporate earnings.
Key Retail Themes:
investor interest in AI and technology stocks
rebound from losses
Federal Reserve policy decision and corporate earnings
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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NEUTRAL
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