Ventas (VTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTR - Ventas, Inc.
$86.80
-0.19 (-0.22%)
âŧ
5d:
+1.09%
30d:
-0.03%
90d:
-13.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VTR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VTR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTR is currently trading at $86.80, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.08 to $87.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 110.1) is in line with its historical norms (107.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $87.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VTR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.50 (+15.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $87.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VTR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.50 (+15.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$83.08 -
$87.61
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($100.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 21.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.08 -
$87.61
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.71
Resistance Level
$87.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
110.11
Wall Street Target
$100.50
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
110.1 vs 107.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.77
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$88.56
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$89.36
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 110â107)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.91
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 110.1, Growth: 79.5%)
$293.59
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 79.5%)
$52.95
(-39%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 79.5%)
$45.01
(-48%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (128x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (110x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 128.21 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.68
Bull Case
$105.04
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 134.6
Base Case
$86.99
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 128.2
Bear Case
$66.55
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 115.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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