Ventas (VTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTR - Ventas, Inc.
$84.01
0.28 (0.33%)
▲
5d:
-2.98%
30d:
-8.74%
90d:
-8.89%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTR is currently trading at $84.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.25 to $91.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 106.3) is in line with its historical norms (107.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VTR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.82 (+21.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VTR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.82 (+21.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$86.25 -
$91.94
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($101.82)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 23% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.25 -
$91.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.23
Resistance Level
$88.49
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
106.34
Wall Street Target
$101.82
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
106.3 vs 107.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.76
(0%)
2-Year Target
$83.51
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$83.26
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 106→107)
$83.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 106.3, Growth: 79.5%)
$283.53
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 79.5%)
$54.39
(-35%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 79.5%)
$46.23
(-45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (128x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (106x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 128.21 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.66
Bull Case
$101.44
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 134.6
Base Case
$84.01
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 128.2
Bear Case
$64.27
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 115.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 106.3 to 107.2
Stabilization Target:
$84.69
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 10:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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