Ventas (VTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$89.65
-0.77 (-0.85%)
▼
5d:
+0.69%
30d:
+6.33%
90d:
-2.04%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
0d
Protect VTR Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (30%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$82.58 – $88.50
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
129.0x
STRETCHED
vs 107.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$99.00
+10.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$84.46 / $91.34
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VTR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTR is currently trading at $89.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.58 to $88.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 129.0) compared to its historical average (107.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VTR scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.00 (+10.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VTR scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.00 (+10.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$82.58 -
$88.50
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$82.58 -
$88.50
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$84.46
Resistance Level
$91.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($99.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.2% growth with 21.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
128.99
Wall Street Target
$99.00
(+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.1%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
129.0 vs 107.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.21
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$101.11
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$107.38
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 129→108)
PE COMPRESSION
$89.74
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 129.0, Growth: 51.1%)
$302.57
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 51.1%)
$46.58
(-48%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 51.1%)
$39.60
(-56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (133x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (129x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 133.33 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.67
Bull Case
$108.25
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 140.0
Base Case
$89.65
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 133.3
Bear Case
$68.58
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 120.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VTR)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Ventas (VTR) reported Q3 earnings with revenue of $1.83 billion, up 23% YoY, and EPS of $0.99, missing estimates. Key metrics like rental income and NOI from senior housing operating portfolio (SHOP) grew.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings
revenue
key metrics
senior housing operating portfolio
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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