Is OLED stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, OLED is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: OLED shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of OLED stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for OLED to be between $76.38 and $83.91. The current price is $78.27.

What is the analyst price target for OLED?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for OLED is $115.37. This implies a potential upside of 49.1% from current levels.

Universal Display (OLED) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OLED - Universal Display Corp

ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS & ACCESSORIES

$78.27

0.88 (1.14%) ▲

5d: +1.14%

30d: -6.33%

90d: -2.79%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OLED shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 12.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$130.72

Based on 8.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$81.17

3.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OLED is currently trading at $78.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.38 to $83.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.4) compared to its historical average (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OLED is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $79.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: OLED scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.37 (+49.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $76.38 - $83.91

Company Quality Score 67/100 (BUY)

Options IV Signal 32th percentile (NORMAL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 80.8%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 32th percentile)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (85/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 49.1% below Wall St target ($115.37)
CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 20% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $76.38 - $83.91

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$5.76 (7.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $73.23

Resistance Level $79.16

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.36

Wall Street Target $115.37 (+49.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -11.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -24.9%

Profit Margin 32.2%

Valuation Discount vs History -4.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 16.4 vs 18.5 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $74.22 (-4%)

2-Year Target $71.17 (-8%)

3-Year Target $68.26 (-12%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→19) $77.19 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.8%) $138.37 (+79%)

Base: (SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 12.8%) $110.96 (+43%)

Bear: (PE: 13.9, Growth: 12.8%) $94.32 (+22%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 18.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.14

Bull Case $96.83 (+25%)

Analyst growth 14.3%, PE expands to 20.5

Base Case $88.03 (+14%)

Market implied 14.3%, PE stable at 18.6

Bear Case $52.39 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 18.5

Stabilization Target: $87.52 (+13.1%)

PE Expansion Potential: +13.1%

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Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 PM

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Advanced OLED Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OLED price and gamma walls.

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