OLED Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OLED - Universal Display Corp
$80.16
-0.20 (-0.25%)
▼
5d:
+1.12%
30d:
-3.48%
90d:
-7.96%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OLED trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OLED trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.09
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.33
12.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OLED is currently trading at $80.16, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.72 to $85.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OLED is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.42, while resistance sits at $83.58.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.89 (+57.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OLED is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.42, while resistance sits at $83.58.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.89 (+57.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$78.72 -
$85.37
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.0% below Wall St target ($125.89)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.72 -
$85.37
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.42
Resistance Level
$83.58
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.15
Wall Street Target
$125.89
(+57.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.7%
Profit Margin
34.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 18.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.15
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$72.34
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$68.73
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$80.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 15.2%)
$157.49
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 15.2%)
$122.70
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 15.2%)
$104.29
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.50
Bull Case
$97.50
(+22%)
Analyst growth 10.3%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$88.64
(+11%)
Market implied 10.3%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$54.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$93.31
(+16.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OLED showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OLED price and gamma walls.