Universal Display (OLED) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OLED - Universal Display Corp
$87.45
3.60 (4.29%)
▲
5d:
+11.53%
30d:
+14.0%
90d:
+10.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OLED shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OLED shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$130.01
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OLED is currently trading at $87.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.86 to $80.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.5) is in line with its historical norms (18.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OLED is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $88.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: OLED scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.82 (+30.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OLED is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $88.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: OLED scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.82 (+30.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$74.86 -
$80.78
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
40th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OLED? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.3% above its trading range)
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 40th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.2% below Wall St target ($113.82)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with -11.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.86 -
$80.78
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.32
(8.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.77
Resistance Level
$88.30
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.49
Wall Street Target
$113.82
(+30.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.9%
Profit Margin
32.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 18.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.62
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$87.80
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$87.98
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$87.57
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$134.71
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.8%)
$125.39
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 12.8%)
$106.58
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.14
Bull Case
$105.39
(+21%)
Analyst growth 14.3%, PE expands to 22.3
Base Case
$95.81
(+10%)
Market implied 14.3%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$57.02
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OLED showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced OLED Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OLED price and gamma walls.