Universal Display (OLED) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OLED - Universal Display Corp
$83.56
2.40 (2.96%)
â˛
5d:
+1.11%
30d:
-9.18%
90d:
-7.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 26, 2026 at $86.84 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OLED is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OLED is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$132.13
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OLED is currently trading at $83.56, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.46 to $89.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.7) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OLED is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.37 (+38.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OLED is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.37 (+38.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$82.46 -
$89.46
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
39th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OLED? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 39th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.1% below Wall St target ($115.37)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.46 -
$89.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$5.61
(6.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.88
Resistance Level
$85.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.66
Wall Street Target
$115.37
(+38.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.9%
Profit Margin
32.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.97
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$80.41
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$78.89
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â19)
$83.52
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.8%)
$136.81
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 12.8%)
$119.81
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 12.8%)
$101.84
(+22%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.20
Bull Case
$100.55
(+20%)
Analyst growth 12.6%, PE expands to 21.3
Base Case
$91.41
(+9%)
Market implied 12.6%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$55.19
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$88.46
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OLED showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced OLED Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OLED price and gamma walls.