OMCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OMCL - Omnicell Inc

ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS
$38.68
-0.37 (-0.95%) ▼
5d: +2.25%
30d: -13.51%
90d: +16.89%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OMCL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.31
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.79
7.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OMCL is currently trading at $38.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.48 to $44.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.6) compared to its historical average (20.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OMCL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $36.55, while resistance sits at $43.52.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.29 (+58.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $39.48 - $44.14
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 58.4% below Wall St target ($61.29)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $39.48 - $44.14
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $36.55
Resistance Level $43.52
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.62
Wall Street Target $61.29 (+58.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -35.9%
Profit Margin 1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.6 vs 20.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.90 (-5%)
2-Year Target $35.20 (-9%)
3-Year Target $33.58 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→20) $38.69 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.3%) $69.51 (+80%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 13.3%) $56.24 (+45%)
Bear: (PE: 15.0, Growth: 13.3%) $47.81 (+24%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 29.50 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.31
Bull Case $46.71 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.0
Base Case $38.68 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.5
Bear Case $29.59 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 20.3
Stabilization Target: $44.56 (+15.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +15.2%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Corey J Manley SELL 7405 shares 2026-03-16
Corey J Manley SELL 6106 shares 2026-01-08

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