Oracle (ORCL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORCL - Oracle Corp
$142.30
4.23 (3.06%)
▲
5d:
+3.79%
30d:
-2.37%
90d:
-1.02%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 10, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 1, 2026 at $138.07 · last confirmed Oct 2, 2026
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ORCL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ORCL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$416.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$258.78
45.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORCL is currently trading at $142.30, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $139.27 to $153.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (19.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORCL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $131.58, while resistance sits at $153.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ORCL scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $237.97 (+67.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORCL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $131.58, while resistance sits at $153.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ORCL scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $237.97 (+67.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$139.27 -
$153.75
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ORCL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 67.2% below Wall St target ($237.97)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 22% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$139.27 -
$153.75
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$131.58
Resistance Level
$153.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.03
Wall Street Target
$237.97
(+67.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.5%
Profit Margin
26.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 19.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$128.07
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$115.26
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$103.74
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→20)
$156.02
(+10%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 35.6%)
$555.33
(+290%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 35.6%)
$354.77
(+149%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 35.6%)
$301.55
(+112%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.42
Bull Case
$258.31
(+82%)
Analyst growth 70.1%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$234.83
(+65%)
Market implied 70.1%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case
$93.89
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 19.6
Stabilization Target:
$214.01
(+50.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+50.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ORCL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stuart Levey
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-16
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Advanced ORCL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ORCL price and gamma walls.
