Is ORCL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ORCL is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: ORCL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of ORCL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ORCL to be between $123.54 and $147.64. The current price is $146.47.

What is the analyst price target for ORCL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ORCL is $246.43. This implies a potential upside of 68.2% from current levels.

ORCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ORCL - Oracle Corp

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$146.47

4.40 (3.10%) ▲

5d: -2.69%

30d: +22.02%

90d: -22.82%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your ORCL Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Sep 08, 2026 15d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $148.49 · last confirmed Aug 18, 2026

Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ORCL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$440.15

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$273.30

46.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ORCL is currently trading at $146.47, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $123.54 to $147.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (20.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ORCL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $137.43, while resistance sits at $159.26. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.43 (+68.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $123.54 - $147.64

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 70.0%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
BULLISH: Trading 68.2% below Wall St target ($246.43)
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $123.54 - $147.64

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $137.43

Resistance Level $159.26

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.41

Wall Street Target $246.43 (+68.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 21.9%

Profit Margin 25.4%

Valuation Discount vs History -13.5% cheaper

PE vs Historical 13.4 vs 20.7 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -13.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $131.82 (-10%)

2-Year Target $118.64 (-19%)

3-Year Target $106.78 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→21) $164.77 (+13%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 35.6%) $546.35 (+273%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 35.6%) $365.16 (+149%)

Bear: (PE: 11.4, Growth: 35.6%) $310.39 (+112%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 24.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.75

Bull Case $296.77 (+103%)

Analyst growth 89.9%, PE expands to 27.2

Base Case $269.79 (+84%)

Market implied 89.9%, PE stable at 24.7

Bear Case $96.61 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 20.7

Stabilization Target: $226.03 (+54.3%)

PE Expansion Potential: +54.3%

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Last updated: August 23, 2026 4:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Stuart Levey SELL 15000 shares 2026-04-16

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23

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