Oracle (ORCL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$128.38
+10.40 (+8.82%)
▲
5d:
+3.76%
30d:
-10.35%
90d:
-17.82%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Dec 09, 2026
26d
Protect ORCL Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$122.00 – $139.51
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.8x
CHEAP
vs 18.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$235.77
+83.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$109.21 / $144.61
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: ORCL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$397.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$246.89
48.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORCL is currently trading at $128.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $122.00 to $139.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORCL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $109.21, while resistance sits at $144.61. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $235.77 (+83.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORCL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $109.21, while resistance sits at $144.61. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $235.77 (+83.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$122.00 -
$139.51
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$122.00 -
$139.51
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$109.21
Resistance Level
$144.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ORCL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 83.7% below Wall St target ($235.77)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.76
Wall Street Target
$235.77
(+83.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.5%
Profit Margin
26.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 18.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.54
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$103.99
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$93.59
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→19)
$148.85
(+16%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 35.6%)
$540.63
(+321%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 35.6%)
$320.06
(+149%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 35.6%)
$272.05
(+112%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.28
Bull Case
$225.65
(+76%)
Analyst growth 73.9%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$205.13
(+60%)
Market implied 73.9%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$80.23
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$204.19
(+59.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+59.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ORCL)
Bullish
9 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
8 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The stock market rallied on November 11, led by the Nasdaq Composite, as renewed optimism surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) fueled a broad recovery in technology stocks. CoreWeave's strong earnings and improved revenue outlook helped reinforce confidence in AI infrastructure spending.
Key Retail Themes:
AI infrastructure spending
Technology sector recovery
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
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