OXM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OXM - Oxford Industries, Inc.
$36.20
1.84 (5.36%)
▲
5d:
-0.47%
30d:
-5.16%
90d:
-7.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 09, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OXM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OXM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.53
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.58
3.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXM is currently trading at $36.20, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.18 to $39.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.98, while resistance sits at $37.55. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: OXM scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.00 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.98, while resistance sits at $37.55. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: OXM scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.00 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$36.18 -
$39.96
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
96.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($40.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with -0.4% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.18 -
$39.96
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.15
(8.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.98
Resistance Level
$37.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.74
Wall Street Target
$40.00
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.2%
Profit Margin
-2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.24
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$36.27
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$36.31
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 18.0%)
$86.97
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 18.0%)
$59.53
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 18.0%)
$50.60
(+40%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OXM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced OXM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OXM price and gamma walls.
