OXY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OXY - Occidental Petroleum Corporation
$57.07
1.12 (2.00%)
▲
5d:
-0.4%
30d:
+19.04%
90d:
-5.79%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
2d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OXY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OXY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.21
Based on -11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXY is currently trading at $57.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.37 to $56.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (22.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 315.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $53.75, while resistance sits at $58.99.
Market Sentiment: OXY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.52 (+13.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $53.75, while resistance sits at $58.99.
Market Sentiment: OXY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.52 (+13.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$50.37 -
$56.11
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OXY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($64.52)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.37 -
$56.11
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.75
Resistance Level
$58.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.53
Wall Street Target
$64.52
(+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
315.6%
Profit Margin
22.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 22.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.36
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$46.23
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$41.60
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→22)
$63.29
(+11%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -27.8%)
$59.37
(+4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: -27.8%)
$41.60
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: -27.8%)
$35.36
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.28 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.55
Bull Case
$68.91
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.8
Base Case
$57.07
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$43.66
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 22.1
Stabilization Target:
$86.82
(+52.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+52.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OXY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-10
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