Is OXY stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, OXY is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OXY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of OXY stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for OXY to be between $57.02 and $61.12. The current price is $61.46.

What is the analyst price target for OXY?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for OXY is $67.08. This implies a potential upside of 9.1% from current levels.

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

OXY - Occidental Petroleum Corporation

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

$61.46

0.30 (0.49%) ▲

5d: +1.4%

30d: +4.97%

90d: +10.8%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your OXY Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 3, 2026 at $60.61 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 8.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: OXY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -34.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$33.44

Based on -15.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$20.76

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: OXY is currently trading at $61.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.02 to $61.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (21.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 964.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, OXY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $57.02 - $61.12

Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 46.2%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($67.08)
WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $57.02 - $61.12

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $58.67

Resistance Level $62.24

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.89

Wall Street Target $67.08 (+9.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 53.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 964.9%

Profit Margin 30.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -9.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 15.9 vs 21.2 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -9.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $55.87 (-9%)

2-Year Target $50.78 (-17%)

3-Year Target $46.16 (-25%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→21) $61.57 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -34.6%) $56.86 (+-8%)

Base: (SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: -34.6%) $44.80 (-27%)

Bear: (PE: 13.5, Growth: -34.6%) $38.08 (-38%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 18.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38

Bull Case $76.96 (+25%)

Analyst growth 14.4%, PE expands to 19.9

Base Case $69.97 (+14%)

Market implied 14.4%, PE stable at 18.1

Bear Case $41.59 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 21.2

Stabilization Target: $81.97 (+33.4%)

PE Expansion Potential: +33.4%

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Last updated: September 11, 2026 7:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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