OXY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OXY - Occidental Petroleum Corporation
$52.89
0.59 (1.13%)
▲
5d:
+8.14%
30d:
-6.47%
90d:
-9.64%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.9/10
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4 traders called OXY this week
75% bullish • 1 bearish
75% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OXY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -15.3% annual earnings decline despite 316% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OXY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -15.3% annual earnings decline despite 316% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.09
Based on -13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OXY is currently trading at $52.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.06 to $57.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 315.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OXY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.22 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OXY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OXY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.22 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$50.06 -
$57.06
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($65.22)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.06 -
$57.06
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.61
Resistance Level
$60.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.86
Wall Street Target
$65.22
(+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
315.6%
Profit Margin
22.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 22.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.60
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$42.84
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$38.56
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→23)
$63.43
(+20%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -31.7%)
$60.59
(+15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: -31.7%)
$38.56
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: -31.7%)
$32.77
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.83 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.38
Bull Case
$63.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$52.89
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$40.46
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 22.8
Stabilization Target:
$87.00
(+64.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+64.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OXY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-02-10
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