PED Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PED - PEDEVCO Corp.
$13.56
-0.25 (-1.81%)
▼
5d:
+8.22%
30d:
+13.47%
90d:
-8.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PED shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PED shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.92
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.82
31.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PED is currently trading at $13.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.72 to $12.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.8) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PED is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PED scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.22 (+39.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PED is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PED scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.22 (+39.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.72 -
$12.70
Company Quality Score
28/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.8% below Wall St target ($18.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.72 -
$12.70
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.89
Resistance Level
$13.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.85
Wall Street Target
$18.22
(+39.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
561.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.3%
Profit Margin
-14.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 14.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.07
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$11.17
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$10.35
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$13.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 57.1%)
$74.51
(+472%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 57.1%)
$43.98
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 57.1%)
$37.38
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$16.39
(+25.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is PED showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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