PEDEVCO (PED) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PED - PEDEVCO Corp.
$14.84
0.36 (2.49%)
▲
5d:
+3.06%
30d:
+31.91%
90d:
+13.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PED shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PED shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.86
28.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PED is currently trading at $14.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.60 to $14.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PED is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.02, while resistance sits at $15.45.
Market Sentiment: PED scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.22 (+22.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PED is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.02, while resistance sits at $15.45.
Market Sentiment: PED scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.22 (+22.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.60 -
$14.32
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.8% below Wall St target ($18.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 27/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.60 -
$14.32
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.02
Resistance Level
$15.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.47
Wall Street Target
$18.22
(+22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
561.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.3%
Profit Margin
-14.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 14.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.10
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$13.39
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$12.72
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$14.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 45.1%)
$73.36
(+394%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 45.1%)
$45.36
(+206%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 45.1%)
$38.55
(+160%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$17.26
(+16.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 8:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PED showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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