PEDEVCO (PED) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$11.71
-1.34 (-10.27%)
▼
5d:
-21.3%
30d:
-13.13%
90d:
-6.54%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$13.07 – $15.48
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.8x
CHEAP
vs 13.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$18.22
+55.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$11.71 / $15.85
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PED is down 21.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.71
40.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PED is currently trading at $11.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.07 to $15.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PED is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: PED scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.22 (+55.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PED is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: PED scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.22 (+55.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.07 -
$15.48
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$13.07 -
$15.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$11.71
Resistance Level
$15.85
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 55.6% below Wall St target ($18.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.84
Wall Street Target
$18.22
(+55.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
561.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.3%
Profit Margin
-14.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 13.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.54
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.49
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.54
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→14)
$11.88
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 45.1%)
$72.23
(+517%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 45.1%)
$35.79
(+206%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 45.1%)
$30.42
(+160%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$16.30
(+39.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PED)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
One bullish StockTwits message highlights Pedevco's low Price-to-Book ratio, implying undervalued accounting book value.
Key Retail Themes:
undervalued stock
low Price-to-Book ratio
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 1:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PED showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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