PED Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PED - PEDEVCO Corp.
$10.38
-0.06 (-0.62%)
▼
5d:
-6.94%
30d:
-17.13%
90d:
-35.19%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PED shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PED shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.49
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.10
14.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PED is currently trading at $10.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.93 to $13.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PED is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PED has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+72.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PED is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PED has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+72.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.93 -
$13.27
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 72.4% below Wall St target ($18.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.93 -
$13.27
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.30
Resistance Level
$12.50
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.89
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+72.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
360.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.3%
Profit Margin
-46.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 15.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.91
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$9.40
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$8.92
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$10.45
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 15.7%)
$26.02
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 15.7%)
$16.18
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 15.7%)
$13.75
(+32%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$12.23
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 2:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PED showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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