PENG
Penguin Solutions, Inc. Ordinary Shares
SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
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PENG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$44.64
-1.06 (-2.32%)
▼
5d:
-16.07%
30d:
-43.6%
90d:
-23.99%
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Earnings: Oct 06, 2026
0d
Protect PENG Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$47.70 – $68.81
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.2x
FAIR
vs 14.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$85.63
+91.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$37.02 / $60.92
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: PENG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.14
21.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PENG is currently trading at $44.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.70 to $68.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1187.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PENG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $37.02, while resistance sits at $60.92.
Market Sentiment: PENG scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.62 (+91.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PENG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $37.02, while resistance sits at $60.92.
Market Sentiment: PENG scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.62 (+91.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$47.70 -
$68.81
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$47.70 -
$68.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$37.02
Resistance Level
$60.92
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding PENG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 91.8% below Wall St target ($85.62)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 25% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-16.1%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.22
Wall Street Target
$85.63
(+91.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
67.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1187.8%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.84
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$43.05
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$42.27
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$44.75
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 28.8%)
$143.31
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 28.8%)
$95.43
(+114%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 28.8%)
$81.11
(+82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.60
Bull Case
$65.27
(+46%)
Analyst growth 29.8%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$59.33
(+33%)
Market implied 29.8%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$31.08
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$47.26
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PENG)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Cree LED introduces XLamp X21 Multi-Color LEDs, the smallest ceramic multi-color LEDs in their portfolio, offering exceptional optical performance and color flexibility for lighting manufacturers.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PENG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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