Phreesia (PHR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PHR - Phreesia, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$10.31
0.14 (1.38%) ▲
5d: -7.12%
30d: -15.91%
90d: +13.92%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PHR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.39
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.39
37.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PHR is currently trading at $10.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.94 to $12.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 200% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PHR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: PHR scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.94 (+35.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $10.94 - $12.32
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 13th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 13th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 35.2% below Wall St target ($13.94)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.94 - $12.32
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.07 (10.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.02
Resistance Level $12.29
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.85
Wall Street Target $13.94 (+35.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 200.0%
Profit Margin 2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.9 vs 9.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.40 (-9%)
2-Year Target $8.58 (-17%)
3-Year Target $7.82 (-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→9) $10.28 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 29.2%) $65.43 (+535%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 29.2%) $22.21 (+115%)
Bear: (PE: 5.8, Growth: 29.2%) $18.88 (+83%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.80
Bull Case $12.45 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case $10.31 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case $7.89 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 9.0
Stabilization Target: $13.55 (+31.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +31.5%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Allison C Hoffman SELL 6176 shares 2026-04-20
Yvonne Hui SELL 1327 shares 2026-04-17
Yvonne Hui SELL 10063 shares 2026-04-16

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Advanced PHR Option Strategies

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