Powell Industries (POWL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
POWL - Powell Industries Inc
$182.50
5.61 (3.17%)
▲
5d:
+4.19%
30d:
-12.25%
90d:
-37.18%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 31, 2026 at $180.62 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: POWL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: POWL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$330.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$205.27
11.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: POWL is currently trading at $182.50, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $180.75 to $209.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.8) is in line with its historical norms (24.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POWL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $168.01, while resistance sits at $193.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: POWL scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $280.00 (+53.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POWL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $168.01, while resistance sits at $193.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: POWL scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $280.00 (+53.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$180.75 -
$209.73
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
96.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 53.4% below Wall St target ($280.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$180.75 -
$209.73
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$13.19
(7.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$168.01
Resistance Level
$193.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.77
Wall Street Target
$280.00
(+53.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Profit Margin
16.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
26.8 vs 24.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$186.88
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$191.37
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$195.96
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$182.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.8, Growth: 27.0%)
$374.02
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 27.0%)
$281.83
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 27.0%)
$239.56
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.23
Bull Case
$253.66
(+39%)
Analyst growth 30.4%, PE expands to 37.2
Base Case
$230.60
(+26%)
Market implied 30.4%, PE stable at 33.8
Bear Case
$120.29
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is POWL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brett Alan Cope
SELL
4440 shares
2026-04-09
Michael William Metcalf
SELL
9000 shares
2026-03-31
Thomas W Powell
SELL
149334 shares
2026-03-19
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Advanced POWL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's POWL price and gamma walls.
