POWL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
POWL - Powell Industries Inc
$197.67
0.27 (0.14%)
▲
5d:
-7.41%
30d:
-18.48%
90d:
-26.99%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: POWL trades at premium valuation expecting 5.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: POWL trades at premium valuation expecting 5.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$331.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$206.01
4.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: POWL is currently trading at $197.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $200.49 to $232.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.8) compared to its historical average (24.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POWL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $193.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $280.00 (+41.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POWL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $193.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $280.00 (+41.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$200.49 -
$232.44
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding POWL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.7% below Wall St target ($280.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.4%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$200.49 -
$232.44
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$19.67
(9.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$193.52
Resistance Level
$219.27
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.77
Wall Street Target
$280.00
(+41.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Profit Margin
16.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
28.8 vs 24.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$207.75
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$218.35
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$229.48
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$197.79
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.8, Growth: 28.1%)
$415.83
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 28.1%)
$290.04
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 28.1%)
$246.54
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.21
Bull Case
$286.32
(+45%)
Analyst growth 31.9%, PE expands to 41.7
Base Case
$260.29
(+32%)
Market implied 31.9%, PE stable at 37.9
Bear Case
$134.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is POWL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brett Alan Cope
SELL
4440 shares
2026-04-09
Michael William Metcalf
SELL
9000 shares
2026-03-31
Thomas W Powell
SELL
149334 shares
2026-03-19
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Advanced POWL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's POWL price and gamma walls.
