POWL
Powell Industries Inc
SWITCHGEAR & SWITCHBOARD APPARATUS
Powell Industries (POWL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$138.21
-3.44 (-2.43%)
▼
5d:
-15.39%
30d:
-25.45%
90d:
-33.55%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 16, 2026
4d
Protect POWL Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (87%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$145.37 – $185.56
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.3x
CHEAP
vs 25.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$267.50
+93.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
43th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$121.13 / $170.46
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: POWL is down 15.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$331.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$206.07
32.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: POWL is currently trading at $138.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $145.37 to $185.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.3) compared to its historical average (25.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POWL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $121.13, while resistance sits at $170.46.
Market Sentiment: POWL scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $267.50 (+93.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POWL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $121.13, while resistance sits at $170.46.
Market Sentiment: POWL scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $267.50 (+93.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$145.37 -
$185.56
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
43th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$145.37 -
$185.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$15.39
(11.1%)
Support Level
$121.13
Resistance Level
$170.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding POWL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 43th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 93.5% below Wall St target ($267.50)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.27
Wall Street Target
$267.50
(+93.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Profit Margin
16.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 25.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$128.81
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$120.05
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$111.89
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→25)
$137.97
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.3, Growth: 27.0%)
$283.15
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.0%)
$277.37
(+101%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 27.0%)
$235.77
(+71%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.22
Bull Case
$203.49
(+47%)
Analyst growth 30.6%, PE expands to 29.9
Base Case
$184.99
(+34%)
Market implied 30.6%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$96.32
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.3 to 25.0
Stabilization Target:
$170.43
(+23.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (POWL)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader on StockTwits identifies $POWL as a misunderstood stock
Key Retail Themes:
Company Misunderstanding
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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