Qualys (QLYS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$182.69
+7.58 (+4.33%)
▲
5d:
-13.37%
30d:
-7.78%
90d:
-6.73%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
0d
Protect QLYS Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (56%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$187.77 – $216.54
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.9x
STRETCHED
vs 16.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$196.81
+7.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$164.68 / $235.55
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: QLYS is down 13.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$193.79
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QLYS is currently trading at $182.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $187.77 to $216.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.9) compared to its historical average (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QLYS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $164.68, while resistance sits at $235.54. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: QLYS scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QLYS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $164.68, while resistance sits at $235.54. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: QLYS scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$187.77 -
$216.54
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$187.77 -
$216.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$164.68
Resistance Level
$235.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding QLYS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($196.81)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.6% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.94
Wall Street Target
$196.81
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Profit Margin
29.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 16.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$196.57
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$211.51
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$227.59
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$182.61
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: 7.5%)
$226.93
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.5%)
$215.24
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 7.5%)
$182.08
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.00
Bull Case
$280.11
(+53%)
Analyst growth 45.4%, PE expands to 32.1
Base Case
$254.64
(+39%)
Market implied 45.4%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case
$119.07
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (QLYS)
Bullish
4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
3 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Qualys reported Q3 earnings that surpassed expectations, but the stock dropped due to concerns over declining operating margins.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings report
operating margins
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QLYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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