Qualys (QLYS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QLYS - Qualys, Inc. Common Stock
$208.20
11.50 (5.85%)
▲
5d:
+8.07%
30d:
+12.67%
90d:
+51.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QLYS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QLYS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$185.13
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$114.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QLYS is currently trading at $208.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $178.74 to $197.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.6) compared to its historical average (16.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QLYS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $210.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $181.03. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QLYS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $210.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $181.03. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$178.74 -
$197.26
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
36th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding QLYS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.5% above its trading range)
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 36th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.8%)
- BEARISH: Trading 13.1% above Wall St target ($181.03)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.8% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$178.74 -
$197.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$18.01
(8.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$177.57
Resistance Level
$210.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.63
Wall Street Target
$181.03
(-13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.1%
Profit Margin
29.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.8% premium
PE vs Historical
24.6 vs 16.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$239.01
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$274.39
(+32%)
3-Year Target
$315.00
(+51%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$208.42
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.6, Growth: 8.2%)
$263.42
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.2%)
$212.36
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 8.2%)
$174.30
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.77
Bull Case
$316.92
(+52%)
Analyst growth 46.5%, PE expands to 37.5
Base Case
$288.11
(+38%)
Market implied 46.5%, PE stable at 34.1
Bear Case
$133.76
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QLYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced QLYS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QLYS price and gamma walls.
