QLYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QLYS - Qualys, Inc. Common Stock
$151.54
-1.15 (-0.75%)
▼
5d:
-4.25%
30d:
+37.51%
90d:
+98.87%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QLYS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QLYS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$162.69
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QLYS is currently trading at $151.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.71 to $145.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.3) compared to its historical average (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QLYS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $115.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QLYS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $113.91. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QLYS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $115.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QLYS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $113.91. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$107.71 -
$145.48
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.8%
Protect Your Profits
QLYS is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 24.8% above Wall St target ($113.91)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.71 -
$145.48
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$10.68
(7.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.28
Resistance Level
$115.89
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.32
Wall Street Target
$113.91
(-24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Profit Margin
29.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.6% premium
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 14.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$164.57
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$178.73
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$194.10
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$151.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.2%)
$234.29
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 9.2%)
$197.09
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 9.2%)
$153.83
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.56
Bull Case
$249.86
(+65%)
Analyst growth 48.8%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case
$227.14
(+50%)
Market implied 48.8%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$103.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QLYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bruce K Posey
SELL
65 shares
2026-03-13
Bruce K Posey
SELL
100 shares
2026-03-05
Joo Mi Kim
SELL
6799 shares
2026-02-04
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Advanced QLYS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QLYS price and gamma walls.
