QLYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QLYS - Qualys, Inc. Common Stock
$112.33
3.82 (3.52%)
▲
5d:
-2.02%
30d:
+11.38%
90d:
+15.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QLYS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QLYS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$159.84
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$99.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QLYS is currently trading at $112.33, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.88 to $113.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QLYS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $98.28, while resistance sits at $115.89. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QLYS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $98.28, while resistance sits at $115.89. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$100.88 -
$113.55
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($107.39)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.88 -
$113.55
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.62
(6.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.28
Resistance Level
$115.89
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.14
Wall Street Target
$107.39
(-1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Profit Margin
29.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 14.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.01
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$103.58
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$101.19
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$108.62
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$233.81
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 9.1%)
$141.02
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 9.1%)
$119.86
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.57
Bull Case
$181.57
(+67%)
Analyst growth 48.3%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case
$165.06
(+52%)
Market implied 48.3%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$75.68
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$116.47
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QLYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bruce K Posey
SELL
65 shares
2026-03-13
Bruce K Posey
SELL
100 shares
2026-03-05
Joo Mi Kim
SELL
6799 shares
2026-02-04
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Advanced QLYS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QLYS price and gamma walls.
