Qualys (QLYS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QLYS - Qualys, Inc. Common Stock
$193.00
5.57 (2.97%)
▲
5d:
+11.93%
30d:
+12.98%
90d:
+21.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
Get Alerted When QLYS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QLYS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QLYS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$179.45
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$111.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QLYS is currently trading at $193.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $169.14 to $186.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.8) compared to its historical average (15.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QLYS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $195.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QLYS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QLYS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $195.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QLYS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$169.14 -
$186.56
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
35.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding QLYS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($179.36)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 13.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$169.14 -
$186.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$14.88
(7.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$168.06
Resistance Level
$195.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.84
Wall Street Target
$179.36
(-7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.1%
Profit Margin
29.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.0% premium
PE vs Historical
22.8 vs 15.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$218.09
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$246.44
(+28%)
3-Year Target
$278.48
(+44%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$192.68
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$244.19
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.2%)
$218.14
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$168.95
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.76
Bull Case
$302.51
(+57%)
Analyst growth 46.7%, PE expands to 35.8
Base Case
$275.01
(+43%)
Market implied 46.7%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$127.45
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is QLYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Software - Infrastructure Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Infrastructure by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
XYZ
Block, Inc |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$98 | 72 BUY |
|
TOST
Toast Inc |
BUY
29 analysts |
$39 | 67 BUY |
|
CRWD
Crowdstrike Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
51 analysts |
$236 | 38 SELL |
|
S
SentinelOne Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$24 | 33 SELL |
|
CHKP
Check Point Software Tec… |
HOLD
38 analysts |
$146 | 62 BUY |
Advanced QLYS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QLYS price and gamma walls.
