Why is REFI Down Today?

REFI
$8.80
▼ -4.97% ($-0.44)
Last updated: Nov 12, 2026 2:30 PM ET

About Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. Common Stock

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc is engaged in a commercial real estate finance company. Its primary investment objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns for stockholders over time, through consistent current income dividends and other distributions and secondarily through cap...

Sector: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
Market Cap: $265.33M
Forward P/E: 7.1
52-Week Range: $8.59 - $13.49

Overall Confidence: 60%

60% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SYMPATHY 60% Confidence
🎯 Outperforming sector by 4.6%
This stock is significantly underperforming its REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS sector peers, suggesting a stock-specific catalyst.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.9x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS sector: -0.4%

REFI is outperforming its sector by -4.6%. This suggests a stock-specific catalyst.

Market Comparison

REFI is significantly underperforming the market (-6.3% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+1.32%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+2.31%
REFI
This Stock
-4.97%
vs S&P 500: -6.29%
vs Nasdaq: -7.28%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, REFI is expected to trade between:
$8.54 - $8.98

Key Level to Watch

$8.36 support
Watch for breakdown below $8.80

🔔 Get REFI Alerts

We'll notify you when REFI's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Nov 12, 2026 2:30 PM (-349 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Historical Context

REFI has moved more than 3.0% down on 11 occasions in the past year.

18.2%
Continuation Rate
2/11 times continued down
+1.06%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Oct 19, 2026 (-5.8%) → Next day: +3.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is REFI stock down today?

This stock is significantly underperforming its REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS sector peers, suggesting a stock-specific catalyst.

Is REFI stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, REFI shows 60% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the REFI stock price target?

REFI is currently trading at $8.80. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $8.54 - $8.98. See long-term price prediction →

Will REFI stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that REFI's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $8.36 (support).

Is REFI stock oversold or overbought?

REFI's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 41.1. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for REFI stock?

REFI's 10-day momentum indicator is at -0.24. Negative momentum - the stock has mild downward pressure which may continue short-term.

Is REFI outperforming or underperforming the market?

REFI (-4.97%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-6.3% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 1.32%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 2.31%.

What does MACD indicate for REFI?

REFI's MACD (-0.24) is currently above the signal line (-0.28), indicating a bullish trend. This technical signal suggests buying pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 23.6) is moderate.

Is REFI in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, REFI is in a bearish trend. The price ($8.80) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($9.06) and 50-day SMA ($9.85). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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