Richardson Electronics (RELL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RELL - Richardson Electronics Ltd

WHOLESALE-ELECTRONIC PARTS & EQUIPMENT, NEC
$18.99
0.43 (2.32%) ▲
5d: +8.39%
30d: +11.77%
90d: +12.23%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 14, 2026 10d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RELL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.79
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RELL is currently trading at $18.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.58 to $17.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 48.7) compared to its historical average (39.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RELL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $19.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: RELL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $16.58 - $17.87
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 39th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 28.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.3% above its trading range)
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 39th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.50)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.6% growth expectation is conservative given 238% recent growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $16.58 - $17.87
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.19 (11.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.96
Resistance Level $19.03
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 48.69
Wall Street Target $20.50 (+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 27.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 238.3%
Profit Margin 2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.6% premium
PE vs Historical 48.7 vs 39.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.43 (+8%)
2-Year Target $21.99 (+16%)
3-Year Target $23.66 (+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 49→39) PE COMPRESSION $19.00 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 48.7, Growth: 52.9%) $64.09 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 52.9%) $26.85 (+41%)
Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 52.9%) $22.82 (+20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 40.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case $17.31 (-9%)
Analyst growth -15.2%, PE expands to 44.4
Base Case $15.74 (-17%)
Market implied -15.2%, PE stable at 40.4
Bear Case $12.62 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced RELL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RELL price and gamma walls.

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