REPX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REPX - Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.
$33.43
-0.07 (-0.19%)
▼
5d:
+0.19%
30d:
-10.91%
90d:
-3.9%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: REPX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: REPX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.29
37.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REPX is currently trading at $33.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.59 to $37.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.2) compared to its historical average (5.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 686.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REPX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: REPX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+43.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REPX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: REPX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+43.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$33.59 -
$37.53
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.3% below Wall St target ($48.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.59 -
$37.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.06
Resistance Level
$36.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.18
Wall Street Target
$48.00
(+43.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
686.0%
Profit Margin
15.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.2 vs 5.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.54
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$27.86
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$25.40
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$33.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.6%)
$353.93
(+957%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.2, Growth: 26.6%)
$67.92
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.6, Growth: 26.6%)
$57.73
(+72%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.87
Bull Case
$72.20
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$65.64
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case
$22.32
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.2 to 5.5
Stabilization Target:
$44.07
(+31.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is REPX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Corey Neil Riley
SELL
3500 shares
2026-02-12
Bobby Riley
SELL
12500 shares
2026-02-10
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