REPX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REPX - Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.
$34.47
1.34 (4.04%)
▲
5d:
+8.57%
30d:
-3.96%
90d:
-12.82%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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1 traders called REPX this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: REPX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.0% annual earnings decline despite 686% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: REPX appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.0% annual earnings decline despite 686% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.75
35.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REPX is currently trading at $34.47, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.59 to $34.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.2) compared to its historical average (5.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 686.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REPX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.06, while resistance sits at $36.48. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: REPX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+39.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REPX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.06, while resistance sits at $36.48. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: REPX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+39.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$32.59 -
$34.85
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 39.3% below Wall St target ($48.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.59 -
$34.85
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.06
Resistance Level
$36.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.19
Wall Street Target
$48.00
(+39.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
686.0%
Profit Margin
15.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.2 vs 5.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.71
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$29.18
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$26.84
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$34.62
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.0%)
$431.14
(+1151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.2, Growth: 34.0%)
$82.88
(+141%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.6, Growth: 34.0%)
$70.45
(+104%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.82
Bull Case
$73.04
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$66.40
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$22.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.2 to 5.4
Stabilization Target:
$44.46
(+29.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is REPX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Corey Neil Riley
SELL
3500 shares
2026-02-12
Bobby Riley
SELL
12500 shares
2026-02-10
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