Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$41.81
+0.56 (+1.36%)
▲
5d:
-2.5%
30d:
-12.44%
90d:
+17.81%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
64/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$42.66 – $51.06
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.1x
CHEAP
vs 5.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$56.00
+35.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$39.16 / $53.34
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: REPX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.72
34.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REPX is currently trading at $41.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.66 to $51.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.1) compared to its historical average (5.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 185.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REPX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.16, while resistance sits at $53.34.
Market Sentiment: REPX scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.00 (+35.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REPX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.16, while resistance sits at $53.34.
Market Sentiment: REPX scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.00 (+35.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$42.66 -
$51.06
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$42.66 -
$51.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$39.16
Resistance Level
$53.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.8% below Wall St target ($56.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.07
Wall Street Target
$56.00
(+35.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
88.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
185.4%
Profit Margin
17.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.1 vs 5.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.91
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$34.84
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$32.02
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$40.90
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 40.2%)
$554.23
(+1244%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.1, Growth: 40.2%)
$113.59
(+175%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.5, Growth: 40.2%)
$96.55
(+134%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.73
Bull Case
$89.01
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case
$80.92
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$27.51
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.1 to 5.2
Stabilization Target:
$52.70
(+27.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (REPX)
Neutral
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user recommends $REPX as part of their watchlist in a small-cap community, praising its potential and limited free access.
Key Retail Themes:
Community Recommendation
Limited Free Access
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REPX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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