Rapid7 (RPD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RPD - Rapid7, Inc. Common Stock
$10.31
-0.19 (-1.81%)
▼
5d:
-10.11%
30d:
-15.97%
90d:
+44.6%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $11.00 · last confirmed Sep 8, 2026
Strength: 7.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.68
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPD is currently trading at $10.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.75 to $12.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.1) is in line with its historical norms (5.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RPD scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.71 (+13.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RPD scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.71 (+13.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.75 -
$12.87
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RPD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.71)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.75 -
$12.87
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.12
Resistance Level
$13.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.08
Wall Street Target
$11.71
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.4%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.1 vs 5.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.08
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$9.86
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$9.64
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$10.25
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.9%)
$55.89
(+442%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.1, Growth: 10.9%)
$14.07
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.3, Growth: 10.9%)
$11.96
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.31
Bull Case
$23.10
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.3
Base Case
$21.00
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.9
Bear Case
$7.14
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.1 to 5.4
Stabilization Target:
$10.96
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott M Murphy
SELL
827 shares
2026-04-22
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Advanced RPD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RPD price and gamma walls.
