Rapid7 (RPD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RPD - Rapid7, Inc. Common Stock
$12.19
0.13 (1.08%)
▲
5d:
+4.91%
30d:
+10.12%
90d:
+16.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.97
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPD is currently trading at $12.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.11 to $12.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.0) is in line with its historical norms (5.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.13, while resistance sits at $13.25.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.13, while resistance sits at $13.25.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.11 -
$12.92
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RPD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.71)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.1% growth with -1.5% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.11 -
$12.92
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.13
Resistance Level
$13.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.00
Wall Street Target
$11.71
(-3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.4%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 5.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.57
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$12.96
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$13.36
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.24
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.9%)
$56.53
(+364%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 10.9%)
$16.64
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 10.9%)
$14.14
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.31
Bull Case
$26.53
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.8
Base Case
$24.12
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.9
Bear Case
$8.20
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott M Murphy
SELL
827 shares
2026-04-22
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Advanced RPD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RPD price and gamma walls.
