Rapid7 (RPD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$14.78
+0.29 (+2.00%)
â˛
5d:
-1.73%
30d:
+14.4%
90d:
+7.26%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (49%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$12.71 â $16.09
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
31.0x
STRETCHED
vs 6.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$15.50
+4.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$13.45 / $17.77
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RPD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 70.4% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.20
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPD is currently trading at $14.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.71 to $16.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.0) compared to its historical average (6.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 70.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.45, while resistance sits at $17.77.
Market Sentiment: RPD scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.45, while resistance sits at $17.77.
Market Sentiment: RPD scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.71 -
$16.09
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$12.71 -
$16.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$13.45
Resistance Level
$17.77
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding RPD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 70.4% growth with -2.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.04
Wall Street Target
$15.50
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.7%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+70.4% premium
PE vs Historical
31.0 vs 6.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+70.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.17
(+50%)
2-Year Target
$33.26
(+125%)
3-Year Target
$49.88
(+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31â6)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.13
(-32%)
Significant PE compression expected
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 8.40 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.76
Bull Case
$17.85
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 8.8
Base Case
$14.78
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 8.4
Bear Case
$11.31
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (RPD)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Rapid7 reported Q3 earnings of 5 cents per share, beating analyst expectations with revenue of $212.4 million, also surpassing estimates.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings beat
Revenue beat
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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