RRX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RRX - Regal Rexnord Corporation

GENERAL INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT, NEC
$166.15
0.30 (0.18%) ▲
5d: -5.32%
30d: -22.37%
90d: -15.4%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RRX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$368.59
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$228.87
27.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RRX is currently trading at $166.15, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $176.17 to $212.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.7) compared to its historical average (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RRX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $164.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: RRX scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $249.00 (+49.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $176.17 - $212.77
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 49.9% below Wall St target ($249.00)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 22% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.3%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $176.17 - $212.77
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $164.50
Resistance Level $179.35
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.68
Wall Street Target $249.00 (+49.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 47.1%
Profit Margin 5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.7 vs 15.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $157.18 (-5%)
2-Year Target $148.69 (-11%)
3-Year Target $140.66 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→15) $166.42 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 23.2%) $491.94 (+196%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 23.2%) $310.75 (+87%)
Bear: (PE: 10.8, Growth: 23.2%) $264.14 (+59%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.86
Bull Case $364.87 (+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.5
Base Case $331.70 (+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.1
Bear Case $112.78 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 15.0
Stabilization Target: $196.58 (+18.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +18.3%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert Rehard SELL 968 shares 2026-02-25

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