Regal Rexnord (RRX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RRX - Regal Rexnord Corporation

GENERAL INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT, NEC
$162.29
5.77 (3.69%) ▲
5d: -0.2%
30d: -6.14%
90d: -23.17%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: RRX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$360.40
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$223.78
27.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RRX is currently trading at $162.29, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $157.29 to $188.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RRX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $166.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: RRX scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $249.00 (+53.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $157.29 - $188.38
Company Quality Score 37/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 53.4% below Wall St target ($249.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $157.29 - $188.38
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $154.06
Resistance Level $166.59
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.42
Wall Street Target $249.00 (+53.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 47.1%
Profit Margin 5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.4 vs 14.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $153.20 (-6%)
2-Year Target $144.62 (-11%)
3-Year Target $136.52 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→15) $162.73 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 22.9%) $489.09 (+201%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 22.9%) $301.09 (+86%)
Bear: (PE: 10.6, Growth: 22.9%) $255.92 (+58%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.87
Bull Case $344.34 (+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.4
Base Case $313.04 (+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.1
Bear Case $106.43 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 14.8
Stabilization Target: $193.44 (+19.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +19.2%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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