Why is RWT Down Today?

RWT
$3.50
▼ -3.58% ($-0.13)
Last updated: Sep 11, 2026 8:33 PM ET

About Redwood Trust, Inc.

Redwood Trust Inc is a real estate investment trust focused on different areas of housing credit. The company operates in three segments: Sequoia Mortgage Banking includes mortgage loan conduit that acquires residential consumer loans from third-party originators for sale to whole loan buyers and se...

Sector: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
Market Cap: $761.13M
Forward P/E: 5.9
52-Week Range: $3.22 - $6.97
Employees: 283

Overall Confidence: 65%

65% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SYMPATHY 60% Confidence
🎯 Outperforming sector by 3.5%
This stock is significantly underperforming its REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS sector peers, suggesting a stock-specific catalyst.

✅ Move Confirmation

HIGH VOLUME 6.0x average volume

DISTRIBUTION - This move is backed by significant volume and appears sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS sector: 0.0%

RWT is outperforming its sector by -3.6%. This suggests a stock-specific catalyst.

Market Comparison

RWT is significantly underperforming the market (-4.4% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.85%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.87%
RWT
This Stock
-3.58%
vs S&P 500: -4.43%
vs Nasdaq: -4.45%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

65% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, RWT is expected to trade between:
$3.40 - $3.57

Key Level to Watch

$3.32 support
Watch for breakdown below $3.50

🔔 Get RWT Alerts

We'll notify you when RWT's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Sep 11, 2026 8:33 PM (-158 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bearish
Options Sentiment
1.78
Put/Call Ratio
100.4%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 9,736
Put Volume: 17,285
Total: 27,021
Unusual Activity: $3 PUT (2,134 vol) $3 PUT (2,134 vol) $3 CALL (1,907 vol)

Historical Context

RWT has moved more than 3.0% down on 21 occasions in the past year.

33.3%
Continuation Rate
7/21 times continued down
-0.17%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 10, 2026 (-14.8%) → Next day: -3.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is RWT stock down today?

This stock is significantly underperforming its REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS sector peers, suggesting a stock-specific catalyst.

Is RWT stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, RWT shows 65% confidence in today's move. Volume is high which supports the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the RWT stock price target?

RWT is currently trading at $3.50. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $3.40 - $3.57. See long-term price prediction →

Will RWT stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 65% probability that RWT's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $3.32 (support).

Is RWT stock oversold or overbought?

RWT's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 16.8. This indicates oversold conditions - the stock may be due for a bounce as selling pressure appears exhausted.

What is the momentum for RWT stock?

RWT's 10-day momentum indicator is at -1.13. Negative momentum - the stock has mild downward pressure which may continue short-term.

Is RWT outperforming or underperforming the market?

RWT (-3.58%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-4.4% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.85%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.87%.

What does MACD indicate for RWT?

RWT's MACD (-0.23) is currently below the signal line (-0.12), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 36.9) is strong.

Is RWT in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, RWT is in a bearish trend. The price ($3.50) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($4.52) and 50-day SMA ($4.7). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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