SAIC
Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock
SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
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SAIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$152.57
+0.04 (+0.03%)
▲
5d:
+1.41%
30d:
+14.45%
90d:
+20.46%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Dec 03, 2026
20d
Protect SAIC Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (37%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$131.36 – $150.81
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.0x
STRETCHED
vs 11.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$132.56
-13.1% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$140.96 / $155.11
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SAIC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.86
Based on -0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAIC is currently trading at $152.57, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $131.36 to $150.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $155.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SAIC scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $132.56. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $155.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SAIC scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $132.56. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$131.36 -
$150.81
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
37.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$131.36 -
$150.81
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.05
(5.9%)
Support Level
$140.96
Resistance Level
$155.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding SAIC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.1% above Wall St target ($132.56)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 11.2% growth with 6.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.95
Wall Street Target
$132.56
(-13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.2%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 11.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$169.66
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$188.66
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$209.79
(+38%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$152.53
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.3%)
$166.50
(+9%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: -4.3%)
$133.76
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: -4.3%)
$97.25
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.57
Bull Case
$187.22
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.6%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$170.20
(+12%)
Market implied 11.6%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$103.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SAIC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A financial analysis of SAIC's stock performance reveals that while sales grew only 2.1% between 2021 and 2026, the stock price surged 71.3%. The primary drivers of this price increase were a decrease in diluted share count due to buybacks and a wider net margin.
Key Retail Themes:
Company's stock price outpaced sales growth
Share buybacks and wider net margin contributed to price increase
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced SAIC Option Strategies
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