SAIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAIC - Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock
$100.60
-1.79 (-1.75%)
▼
5d:
-11.61%
30d:
+4.21%
90d:
+3.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 01, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SAIC is down 11.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SAIC is down 11.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.50
Based on -0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAIC is currently trading at $100.60, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.84 to $113.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $100.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.90 (+21.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $100.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.90 (+21.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$98.84 -
$113.98
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
1th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SAIC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 1th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($121.90)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$98.84 -
$113.98
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.42
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$100.08
Resistance Level
$123.41
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.52
Wall Street Target
$121.90
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
83.8%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.90
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$101.20
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$101.51
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$100.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -4.3%)
$182.60
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: -4.3%)
$88.20
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: -4.3%)
$74.97
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.89
Bull Case
$118.95
(+18%)
Analyst growth 7.6%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$108.14
(+8%)
Market implied 7.6%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$68.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SAIC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SAIC price and gamma walls.
