SD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SD - SandRidge Energy, Inc.

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$13.74
-0.27 (-1.93%) ▼
5d: -2.48%
30d: -10.2%
90d: -18.17%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.56
Based on -16.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.45
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SD is currently trading at $13.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.20 to $15.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 42.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: SD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $14.20 - $15.40
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 30th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $14.20 - $15.40
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.78 (5.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.00
Resistance Level $15.67
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.22
Wall Street Target $15.00 (+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 42.9%
Profit Margin 46.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.2 vs 9.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.48 (-2%)
2-Year Target $13.22 (-4%)
3-Year Target $12.97 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $13.79 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: -36.6%) $23.66 (+72%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: -36.6%) $10.02 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 7.8, Growth: -36.6%) $8.51 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case $11.11 (-21%)
Analyst growth -27.3%, PE expands to 7.5
Base Case $10.10 (-28%)
Market implied -27.3%, PE stable at 6.8
Bear Case $9.45 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 9.8
Stabilization Target: $14.60 (+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.3%
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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