SD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SD - SandRidge Energy, Inc.
$13.70
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+1.71%
30d:
-7.43%
90d:
-11.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.51
Based on -16.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SD is currently trading at $13.70, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.38 to $14.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 42.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.38 -
$14.60
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
46th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 46th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.38 -
$14.60
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.83
(6.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.00
Resistance Level
$15.67
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.19
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
42.9%
Profit Margin
46.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.45
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$13.21
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$12.97
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$13.69
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -36.6%)
$23.66
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: -36.6%)
$9.99
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: -36.6%)
$8.49
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case
$10.74
(-22%)
Analyst growth -27.3%, PE expands to 7.2
Base Case
$9.76
(-29%)
Market implied -27.3%, PE stable at 6.6
Bear Case
$9.13
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 9.7
Stabilization Target:
$14.45
(+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SD price and gamma walls.
