Seneca Foods (SENEA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SENEA - Seneca Foods Corp
$190.62
4.43 (2.38%)
▲
5d:
-6.69%
30d:
+1.19%
90d:
+27.75%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SENEA is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SENEA is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.52
Based on -7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SENEA is currently trading at $190.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $179.67 to $199.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.3) compared to its historical average (15.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SENEA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $184.46, while resistance sits at $210.00.
Market Sentiment: SENEA scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SENEA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $184.46, while resistance sits at $210.00.
Market Sentiment: SENEA scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$179.67 -
$199.40
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($202.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.7%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$179.67 -
$199.40
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$184.46
Resistance Level
$210.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.34
Wall Street Target
$202.00
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.1%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$197.48
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$204.59
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$211.96
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$190.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -18.5%)
$161.60
(+-15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: -18.5%)
$138.96
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: -18.5%)
$118.12
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.81
Bull Case
$133.90
(-30%)
Analyst growth -34.6%, PE expands to 12.2
Base Case
$121.73
(-36%)
Market implied -34.6%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$126.61
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SENEA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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