SGHC
Super Group (SGHC) Limited
Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
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Super Group (SGHC) (SGHC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$11.67
+0.30 (+2.64%)
▲
5d:
+1.04%
30d:
+4.29%
90d:
-10.85%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
Protect SGHC Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$10.86 – $11.48
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.9x
CHEAP
vs 14.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$17.67
+51.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.38 / $11.78
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: SGHC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 26, 2026 at $10.87 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.50
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGHC is currently trading at $11.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.86 to $11.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SGHC scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.67 (+51.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SGHC scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.67 (+51.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.86 -
$11.48
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$10.86 -
$11.48
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$10.38
Resistance Level
$11.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.4% below Wall St target ($17.67)
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.87
Wall Street Target
$17.67
(+51.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.0%
Profit Margin
16.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 14.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.21
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$10.78
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$10.36
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$11.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.7%)
$19.50
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 2.7%)
$12.64
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 2.7%)
$10.74
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$14.00
(+20%)
Analyst growth 11.9%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$12.73
(+9%)
Market implied 11.9%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$7.73
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$13.15
(+12.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SGHC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows 100.0% bullish sentiment towards $SGHC with no recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Positive investor sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SGHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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