SGHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SGHC - Super Group (SGHC) Limited
$15.17
0.28 (1.88%)
▲
5d:
+3.41%
30d:
+10.57%
90d:
+48.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
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1 traders called SGHC this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SGHC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SGHC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.21
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGHC is currently trading at $15.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.18 to $14.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SGHC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.38 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SGHC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.38 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.18 -
$14.57
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($18.38)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.18 -
$14.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.21
Resistance Level
$13.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.65
Wall Street Target
$18.38
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.1%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.57
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$16.29
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$17.04
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$29.37
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 14.7%)
$22.45
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 14.7%)
$19.08
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$30.31
(+104%)
Analyst growth 86.3%, PE expands to 33.9
Base Case
$27.55
(+85%)
Market implied 86.3%, PE stable at 30.8
Bear Case
$10.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SGHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kirsty Farrah Ross
SELL
47391 shares
2026-04-08
Martine Nathan
SELL
4761 shares
2026-04-08
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SELL
78530 shares
2026-04-08
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