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Super Group (SGHC) (SGHC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SGHC - Super Group (SGHC) Limited

Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
$13.84
0.20 (1.47%) ▲
5d: -2.33%
30d: +8.04%
90d: +0.14%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your SGHC Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $13.99 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026

Strength: 5.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SGHC is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.05
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.07
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SGHC is currently trading at $13.84, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.07 to $13.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.31, while resistance sits at $14.32.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.50 (+40.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $13.07 - $13.91
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.2%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 40.9% below Wall St target ($19.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.07 - $13.91
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.31
Resistance Level $14.33
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.65
Wall Street Target $19.50 (+40.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 46.1%
Profit Margin 15.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.0% premium
PE vs Historical 15.7 vs 14.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.12 (+2%)
2-Year Target $14.40 (+4%)
3-Year Target $14.69 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→15) PE COMPRESSION $13.89 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.1%) $27.90 (+102%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 16.1%) $21.65 (+56%)
Bear: (PE: 13.3, Growth: 16.1%) $18.40 (+33%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case $18.43 (+33%)
Analyst growth 22.8%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case $16.75 (+21%)
Market implied 22.8%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case $9.28 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check

Is SGHC showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kirsty Farrah Ross SELL 47391 shares 2026-04-08
Martine Nathan SELL 4761 shares 2026-04-08
Neal Menashe SELL 78530 shares 2026-04-08

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Advanced SGHC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SGHC price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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