Super Group (SGHC) (SGHC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SGHC - Super Group (SGHC) Limited
$11.28
0.14 (1.30%)
▲
5d:
+0.13%
30d:
-6.28%
90d:
-21.48%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
10d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 19, 2026 at $10.91 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026
Strength: 7.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SGHC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.2% annual earnings decline despite 46% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SGHC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.2% annual earnings decline despite 46% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.31
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.61
10.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGHC is currently trading at $11.28, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.01 to $12.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 46.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SGHC scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.38 (+74.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SGHC scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.38 (+74.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.01 -
$12.56
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 74.1% below Wall St target ($19.38)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 78/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.01 -
$12.56
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.85
Resistance Level
$11.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.84
Wall Street Target
$19.38
(+74.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.1%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 14.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.66
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$10.21
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$9.79
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$11.13
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.0%)
$26.90
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 16.0%)
$17.39
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 16.0%)
$14.78
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$14.78
(+33%)
Analyst growth 20.4%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$13.44
(+21%)
Market implied 20.4%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$7.59
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$12.66
(+13.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 2:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SGHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SGHC price and gamma walls.