SGHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SGHC - Super Group (SGHC) Limited
$13.74
-0.04 (-0.33%)
▼
5d:
+0.62%
30d:
+1.74%
90d:
+28.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SGHC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SGHC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.07
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGHC is currently trading at $13.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.88 to $13.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SGHC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.12 (+31.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGHC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SGHC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.12 (+31.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.88 -
$13.72
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.5% below Wall St target ($18.12)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.88 -
$13.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.21
Resistance Level
$13.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.41
Wall Street Target
$18.13
(+31.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.1%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.08
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$14.39
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$14.71
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$29.37
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 14.7%)
$20.78
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 14.7%)
$17.66
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$27.92
(+103%)
Analyst growth 86.3%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case
$25.38
(+84%)
Market implied 86.3%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case
$9.27
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SGHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kirsty Farrah Ross
SELL
47391 shares
2026-04-08
Martine Nathan
SELL
4761 shares
2026-04-08
Neal Menashe
SELL
78530 shares
2026-04-08
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