SHMD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SHMD - SCHMID Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares

Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment
$5.56
-0.54 (-8.85%) ▼
5d: -2.28%
30d: -16.14%
90d: +8.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SHMD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SHMD is currently trading at $5.56, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.49 to $6.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 46.3) is in line with its historical norms (51.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SHMD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: SHMD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $5.49 - $6.77
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 19th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.3%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 19th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.9%)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $5.49 - $6.77
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.19 (21.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.45
Resistance Level $7.21
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 46.33
Revenue Growth (YoY) -37.5%
Profit Margin -138.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 46.3 vs 51.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.38 (-3%)
2-Year Target $5.20 (-7%)
3-Year Target $5.03 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 46→51) $5.57 (+0%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 46.3 to 51.3
Stabilization Target: $6.16 (+10.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +10.7%
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Last updated: July 02, 2026 10:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:41 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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