SHMD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SHMD - SCHMID Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares

Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment
$3.38
0.15 (4.64%) ▲
5d: +9.03%
30d: -36.35%
90d: -40.91%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SHMD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.43
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.61
26.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SHMD is currently trading at $3.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.29 to $5.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (32.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SHMD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.99, while resistance sits at $3.65. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: SHMD scores 96/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $3.29 - $5.07
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 94.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (96/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 35% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.29 - $5.07
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.99
Resistance Level $3.65
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.94
Revenue Growth (YoY) -37.5%
Profit Margin -106.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -21.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.9 vs 32.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -21.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.04 (-10%)
2-Year Target $2.74 (-19%)
3-Year Target $2.46 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→33) $5.02 (+49%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 32.5
Stabilization Target: $6.89 (+103.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +103.8%
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Last updated: September 13, 2026 8:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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