SHMD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHMD - SCHMID Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares
$4.57
0.13 (2.81%)
▲
5d:
+4.58%
30d:
+39.76%
90d:
-17.06%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SHMD is 10.4% above its trading range ($4.14). Market expects -9.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SHMD is 10.4% above its trading range ($4.14). Market expects -9.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.43
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.61
0.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHMD is currently trading at $4.57, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.06 to $4.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.6) compared to its historical average (29.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHMD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.42, while resistance sits at $5.07.
Market Sentiment: SHMD scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHMD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.42, while resistance sits at $5.07.
Market Sentiment: SHMD scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.06 -
$4.14
Company Quality Score
22/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
10.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- WARNING: Composite score 22/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.06 -
$4.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.42
Resistance Level
$5.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.56
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-37.5%
Profit Margin
-106.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 29.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.13
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.73
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.36
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→29)
$4.56
(0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.6 to 29.2
Stabilization Target:
$6.19
(+35.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHMD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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