SHMD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SHMD - SCHMID Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares

Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment
$4.26
0.18 (4.41%) ▲
5d: -0.7%
30d: -23.38%
90d: -33.12%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026 21d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SHMD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -22.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.65
35.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SHMD is currently trading at $4.26, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.00 to $5.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (41.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 22.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SHMD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.60, while resistance sits at $4.58. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $4.00 - $5.46
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 86.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.00 - $5.46
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.74 (17.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.60
Resistance Level $4.58
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.36
Revenue Growth (YoY) -37.5%
Profit Margin -106.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -22.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.4 vs 41.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -22.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.83 (-10%)
2-Year Target $3.45 (-19%)
3-Year Target $3.11 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→42) $6.72 (+58%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 175.0%) $15.39 (+261%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 175.0%) $14.38 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 16.5, Growth: 175.0%) $12.22 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 41.9
Stabilization Target: $9.22 (+116.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +116.4%
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:21 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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