SMST
Tidal Trust II Defiance Daily Target 2x Short MSTR ETF
SMST ETF Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$16.43
+0.77 (+4.92%)
▲
5d:
+4.38%
30d:
+27.96%
90d:
-70.5%
Open in Live Scanner
Updated Nov 9, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (18%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$12.41 – $15.18
Position: EXTENDED
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$12.40 / $17.23
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SMST shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SMST is currently trading at $16.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.41 to $15.18.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMST is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.40, while resistance sits at $17.23. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SMST scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SMST is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.40, while resistance sits at $17.23. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SMST scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.41 -
$15.18
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
17.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$12.41 -
$15.18
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$12.40
Resistance Level
$17.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 9, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SMST)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Jul 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on SMST are bullish (sentiment score +0.64) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 5:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 AM
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