SUZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUZ - Suzano S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing one Ordinary Share ) representing one Ordinary Share)
$8.78
0.28 (3.29%)
▲
5d:
+8.26%
30d:
+5.28%
90d:
+3.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SUZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SUZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.24
Based on -15.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUZ is currently trading at $8.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.05 to $8.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: SUZ scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.57 (+59.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: SUZ scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.57 (+59.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.05 -
$8.45
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
33.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 59.9% below Wall St target ($12.57)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.05 -
$8.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.76
Resistance Level
$8.85
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.78
Wall Street Target
$12.57
(+59.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.9%
Profit Margin
23.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.84
(0%)
2-Year Target
$7.83
(0%)
3-Year Target
$7.81
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$7.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -34.4%)
$14.81
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: -34.4%)
$5.73
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: -34.4%)
$4.87
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.77
Bull Case
$5.09
(-42%)
Analyst growth -42.9%, PE expands to 5.0
Base Case
$4.63
(-47%)
Market implied -42.9%, PE stable at 4.6
Bear Case
$5.51
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$7.88
(+0.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
