Why is SW Down Today?

SW
$43.14
▼ -2.18% ($-0.94)
Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 6:37 PM ET (719 min ago)

About Smurfit Westrock plc

Smurfit WestRock manufactures corrugated packaging and consumer packaging, such as folding cartons and paperboard. After the merger of Smurfit Kappa and WestRock in summer 2024, Smurfit WestRock became the largest producer of containerboard in the world, with substantial operations in North America,...

Sector: PAPERBOARD CONTAINERS & BOXES
Market Cap: $22.27B
Forward P/E: 10.0
52-Week Range: $32.73 - $52.65
Employees: 100,000

Overall Confidence: 50%

50% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

MOMENTUM 50% Confidence
🎯 SW showing strong bearish momentum
SW is down 2.2% today on 0.4x average volume. The move appears to be driven by general market sentiment and momentum traders.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.4x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

PAPERBOARD CONTAINERS & BOXES sector: -0.4%

SW is outperforming its sector by -1.7%. This suggests a stock-specific catalyst.

Market Comparison

SW is significantly underperforming the market (-2.4% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.18%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.31%
SW
This Stock
-2.18%
vs S&P 500: -2.36%
vs Nasdaq: -2.49%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, SW is expected to trade between:
$41.85 - $44.00

Key Level to Watch

$40.98 support
Watch for breakdown below $43.14

🔔 Get SW Alerts

We'll notify you when SW's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 6:37 PM (719 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bullish
Options Sentiment
0.37
Put/Call Ratio
65.2%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 16,298
Put Volume: 6,048
Total: 22,346
Unusual Activity: $50 CALL (5,234 vol) $50 CALL (5,164 vol) $45 PUT (1,261 vol)

Historical Context

SW has moved more than 3.0% down on 28 occasions in the past year.

42.9%
Continuation Rate
12/28 times continued down
+0.83%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 09, 2026 (-4.7%) → Next day: 0.0%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is SW stock down today?

SW is down 2.2% today on 0.4x average volume. The move appears to be driven by general market sentiment and momentum traders.

Is SW stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, SW shows 50% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the SW stock price target?

SW is currently trading at $43.14. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $41.85 - $44.00. See long-term price prediction →

Will SW stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that SW's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $40.98 (support).

Is SW stock oversold or overbought?

SW's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 38.5. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for SW stock?

SW's 10-day momentum indicator is at -2.44. Strong bearish momentum - the stock is experiencing significant downward pressure. Watch for potential reversal signals.

Is SW outperforming or underperforming the market?

SW (-2.18%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-2.4% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.18%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.31%.

What does MACD indicate for SW?

SW's MACD (-0.52) is currently below the signal line (-0.45), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 17.6) is weak.

Is SW in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, SW is in a bearish trend. The price ($43.14) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($44.61) and 50-day SMA ($46.71). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

Check Why Another Stock is Moving

Enter any ticker symbol to see real-time analysis

Popular: AAPL TSLA NVDA MSFT META AMZN GOOGL