Talos Energy (TALO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$15.41
+0.54 (+3.63%)
▲
5d:
-1.28%
30d:
-12.24%
90d:
-0.26%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (95%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$15.75 – $18.15
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.9x
CHEAP
vs 41.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$21.56
+45.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$14.06 / $18.32
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TALO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 42.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Get Alerted When TALO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$69.75
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.31
64.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TALO is currently trading at $15.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.75 to $18.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (41.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 42.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TALO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.06, while resistance sits at $18.32. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: TALO scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.56 (+45.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TALO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.06, while resistance sits at $18.32. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: TALO scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.56 (+45.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.75 -
$18.15
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$15.75 -
$18.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$14.06
Resistance Level
$18.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.0% below Wall St target ($21.56)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.89
Wall Street Target
$21.56
(+45.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.1%
Profit Margin
-18.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-42.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 41.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-42.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.38
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$12.04
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.84
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→42)
$57.16
(+284%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.4%)
$53.19
(+258%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 12.4%)
$21.13
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 12.4%)
$17.96
(+21%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 41.6
Stabilization Target:
$78.41
(+427.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+427.3%
Share TALO Analysis
Share this live TALO analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TALO)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Talos Energy (TALO) reported impressive Q3 2026 financial results, with revenue up 27.7% YoY and EPS beating estimates by 58.6%. The company's operational and financial performance was well-received by the market.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TALO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas E&P Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas E&P by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$62 | 59 HOLD |
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$239 | 56 HOLD |
|
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$123 | 50 HOLD |
|
COP
ConocoPhillips |
BUY
30 analysts |
$152 | 57 HOLD |
|
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$37 | 53 HOLD |
Advanced TALO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TALO price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive TALO Research Pages
