Talos Energy (TALO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TALO - Talos Energy, Inc. Common Stock
$17.66
-0.41 (-2.27%)
▼
5d:
+4.0%
30d:
+6.64%
90d:
+18.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TALO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TALO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.07
60.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TALO is currently trading at $17.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.48 to $17.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (49.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 37.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TALO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.65, while resistance sits at $18.40.
Market Sentiment: TALO scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.22 (+17.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TALO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.65, while resistance sits at $18.40.
Market Sentiment: TALO scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.22 (+17.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.48 -
$17.69
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TALO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.22)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.48 -
$17.69
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.65
Resistance Level
$18.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.12
Wall Street Target
$21.22
(+17.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
56.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.1%
Profit Margin
-20.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-37.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 49.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-37.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.26
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.64
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.17
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→50)
$53.80
(+198%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.4%)
$58.33
(+223%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 25.4%)
$35.60
(+97%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 25.4%)
$30.26
(+68%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 49.5
Stabilization Target:
$73.79
(+308.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+308.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TALO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TALO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TALO price and gamma walls.
