Talos Energy (TALO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TALO - Talos Energy, Inc. Common Stock
$16.46
-0.19 (-1.11%)
▼
5d:
-0.09%
30d:
-4.5%
90d:
+24.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TALO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TALO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.13
67.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TALO is currently trading at $16.45, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.45 to $17.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (63.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 46.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TALO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TALO scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.89 (+19.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TALO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TALO scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.89 (+19.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$16.45 -
$17.48
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TALO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.89)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.45 -
$17.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.05
Resistance Level
$17.24
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.03
Wall Street Target
$19.89
(+19.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
56.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.1%
Profit Margin
-20.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-46.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 63.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-46.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.98
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.48
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.13
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→64)
$76.77
(+361%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 42.4%)
$97.64
(+487%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 42.4%)
$48.02
(+189%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 42.4%)
$40.82
(+145%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 63.5
Stabilization Target:
$105.31
(+532.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+532.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TALO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TALO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TALO price and gamma walls.
