TALO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TALO - Talos Energy, Inc. Common Stock
$15.18
0.58 (3.97%)
▲
5d:
+1.67%
30d:
+12.69%
90d:
-4.65%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TALO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TALO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 18.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TALO is currently trading at $15.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.45 to $14.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 151.8) compared to its historical average (283.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TALO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.50, while resistance sits at $15.85. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: TALO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.89 (+24.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TALO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.50, while resistance sits at $15.85. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: TALO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.89 (+24.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.45 -
$14.69
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.4% below Wall St target ($18.89)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.45 -
$14.69
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.50
Resistance Level
$15.85
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
151.80
Wall Street Target
$18.89
(+24.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.1%
Profit Margin
-42.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
151.8 vs 283.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.66
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$12.30
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$11.07
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 152→283)
$20.64
(+36%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 151.8, Growth: -77.8%)
$11.07
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -77.8%)
$1.51
(-90%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -77.8%)
$1.28
(-92%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 151.8 to 283.1
Stabilization Target:
$28.31
(+86.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+86.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TALO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Control Empresarial De C…
SELL
1352000 shares
2026-03-27
Control Empresarial De C…
SELL
960000 shares
2026-03-26
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Advanced TALO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TALO price and gamma walls.