Talos Energy (TALO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TALO - Talos Energy, Inc. Common Stock
$17.68
0.14 (0.80%)
▲
5d:
+2.26%
30d:
+14.06%
90d:
+19.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TALO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TALO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.60
59.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TALO is currently trading at $17.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.22 to $17.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (93.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 49.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TALO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TALO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.22 -
$17.48
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TALO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.44)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.22 -
$17.48
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.54
Resistance Level
$17.92
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.26
Wall Street Target
$19.44
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
56.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.1%
Profit Margin
-20.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-49.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 93.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-49.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.32
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.89
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→93)
$97.99
(+454%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 49.9%)
$98.01
(+454%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 49.9%)
$59.57
(+237%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 49.9%)
$50.64
(+186%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 93.2
Stabilization Target:
$134.41
(+660.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+660.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TALO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Control Empresarial De C…
SELL
1352000 shares
2026-03-27
Control Empresarial De C…
SELL
960000 shares
2026-03-26
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Advanced TALO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TALO price and gamma walls.
