Tenable (TENB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TENB - Tenable Holdings, Inc.
$42.00
1.33 (3.27%)
▲
5d:
+6.82%
30d:
+15.93%
90d:
+30.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TENB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TENB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.08
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TENB is currently trading at $42.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.42 to $39.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (13.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: TENB scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $36.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: TENB scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $36.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$35.42 -
$39.91
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
18.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TENB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BEARISH: Trading 14.3% above Wall St target ($36.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 13.1% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.42 -
$39.91
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.49
Resistance Level
$42.69
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.13
Wall Street Target
$36.00
(-14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.1% premium
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 13.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.50
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$53.72
(+28%)
3-Year Target
$60.76
(+45%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.93
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.5%)
$58.79
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 10.5%)
$56.63
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 10.5%)
$39.08
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 16.29 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.58
Bull Case
$50.72
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$42.00
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$32.13
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TENB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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