TENB Tenable Holdings, Inc. SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE Best Software Stocks 2026 →

Tenable (TENB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$42.93
+0.97 (+2.31%) ▲
5d: -9.32% 30d: +3.97% 90d: +7.24%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (48%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$38.89 – $47.12
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.4x STRETCHED
vs 13.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$48.35
+12.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$39.38 / $53.22
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: TENB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $44.33 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026

Strength: 5.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.52
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.37
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TENB is currently trading at $42.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.89 to $47.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $39.38, while resistance sits at $53.22.

Market Sentiment: TENB scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.35 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $38.89 - $47.12
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.6%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $38.89 - $47.12
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $39.38
Resistance Level $53.22
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.35)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.5% growth expectation is conservative given 433% recent growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.42
Wall Street Target $48.35 (+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 433.1%
Profit Margin 1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.5% premium
PE vs Historical 17.4 vs 13.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $46.58 (+9%)
2-Year Target $50.54 (+18%)
3-Year Target $54.83 (+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→14) PE COMPRESSION $42.82 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.2%) $71.00 (+65%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 13.2%) $62.26 (+45%)
Bear: (PE: 13.6, Growth: 13.2%) $48.62 (+13%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.15 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.50
Bull Case $51.84 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case $42.93 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case $32.84 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TENB)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bullish sentiment is dominating $TENB on StockTwits with one trader expressing regret for not buying $CROX and sticking with $TENB instead.
Key Retail Themes: Buy and hold strategy Preference for $TENB over $CROX
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive TENB Research Pages
TENB Technical Chart TENB Price Prediction TENB Intrinsic Value DCF TENB Earnings Date Why is TENB Moving Today? TENB Investment Advisor TENB Fair Price Analyzer TENB Options Chain TENB Options Advisor TENB Options Analysis TENB Competitors
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