What is the fair value of TENB stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for TENB to be between $33.34 and $36.96. The current price is $36.85.

What is the analyst price target for TENB?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for TENB is $35.35. This implies a potential upside of -4.1% from current levels.

Tenable (TENB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TENB - Tenable Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$36.85

0.74 (2.05%) ▲

5d: +10.03%

30d: +7.62%

90d: -10.75%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 2, 2026 at $36.85 · last confirmed Oct 2, 2026

Strength: 4.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: TENB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$39.42

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$24.48

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TENB is currently trading at $36.85, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.34 to $36.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $33.34 - $36.96

Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.35)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.5% growth which is achievable
WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $33.34 - $36.96

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.49

Resistance Level $37.53

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.90

Wall Street Target $35.35 (-4.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.6%

Profit Margin 0.7%

Valuation Premium vs History +9.5% premium

PE vs Historical 16.9 vs 12.9 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +9.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $40.35 (+10%)

2-Year Target $44.18 (+20%)

3-Year Target $48.38 (+31%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→13) PE COMPRESSION $36.94 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.0%) $59.21 (+61%)

Base: (SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.0%) $49.04 (+33%)

Bear: (PE: 12.9, Growth: 10.0%) $37.44 (+2%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 16.29 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.26

Bull Case $44.50 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.1

Base Case $36.85 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.3

Bear Case $28.19 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:36 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced TENB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TENB price and gamma walls.

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