TENB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TENB - Tenable Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$27.26
0.92 (3.49%) ▲
5d: -1.66%
30d: +8.3%
90d: +34.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TENB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.10
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.80
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TENB is currently trading at $27.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.74 to $28.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.50, while resistance sits at $28.37. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $24.74 - $28.66
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.85)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $24.74 - $28.66
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $25.50
Resistance Level $28.37
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.55
Wall Street Target $28.85 (+5.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.6%
Profit Margin -1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.5% premium
PE vs Historical 12.6 vs 11.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $28.21 (+4%)
2-Year Target $29.20 (+7%)
3-Year Target $30.22 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→11) PE COMPRESSION $27.21 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.9%) $64.57 (+137%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 10.9%) $37.21 (+37%)
Bear: (PE: 10.7, Growth: 10.9%) $31.63 (+16%)
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:23 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Arthur W Coviello Jr BUY 12000 shares 2026-02-09
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-06
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-01-30

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Advanced TENB Option Strategies

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