TFX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TFX - Teleflex Incorporated
$121.67
-5.33 (-4.20%)
▼
5d:
-6.75%
30d:
-9.99%
90d:
+15.43%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TFX trades at premium valuation expecting 5.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: TFX trades at premium valuation expecting 5.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$205.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$127.51
4.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TFX is currently trading at $121.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.82 to $132.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFX is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $120.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.89 (+19.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFX is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $120.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $145.89 (+19.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$126.82 -
$132.96
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TFX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($145.89)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$126.82 -
$132.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.16
(5.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$120.86
Resistance Level
$136.59
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.54
Wall Street Target
$145.89
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
64.1%
Profit Margin
-47.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 10.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$127.75
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$134.14
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$140.85
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$122.08
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 57.3%)
$775.17
(+537%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 57.3%)
$410.64
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 57.3%)
$349.04
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.23 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.33
Bull Case
$146.92
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$121.67
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$93.08
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TFX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TFX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TFX price and gamma walls.
