ISRG Intuitive Surgical Inc. ORTHOPEDIC, PROSTHETIC & SURGICAL APPLIANCES & SUPPLIES Best Orthopedic Devices Stocks 2026 →

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$443.59
+3.70 (+0.84%) ▲
5d: -2.03% 30d: +3.68% 90d: +13.64%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (45%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$420.43 – $455.05
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
35.6x CHEAP
vs 40.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$486.57
+9.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$434.05 / $485.85
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: ISRG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $457.44 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026

Strength: 4.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$444.88
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$276.23
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ISRG is currently trading at $443.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $420.43 to $455.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 35.6) compared to its historical average (40.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ISRG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $434.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: ISRG scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $420.43 - $455.05
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 45.2%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $420.43 - $455.05
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $434.05
Resistance Level $485.85
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($486.57)
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 35.58
Wall Street Target $486.57 (+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -23.6%
Profit Margin 25.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 35.6 vs 40.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $426.73 (-4%)
2-Year Target $410.52 (-8%)
3-Year Target $394.92 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 36→40) $444.03 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 35.6, Growth: 10.8%) $603.53 (+36%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.8%) $336.91 (-24%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.8%) $286.38 (-35%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 35.97 | Forward EPS (Implied): $12.33
Bull Case $535.63 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.8
Base Case $443.59 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.0
Bear Case $339.35 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.6 to 40.0
Stabilization Target: $498.75 (+12.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.4%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ISRG)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG) has shown strong growth in its Specialty and Infusion business, driving a 34% YoY increase in revenues to $3.18 billion in Q3 2026. The company's shares have rallied 86.5% YTD, with a forward P/E ratio of 38.75.
Key Retail Themes: Strong growth in Specialty and Infusion business Expanding pharma services and hub programs
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive ISRG Research Pages
ISRG Technical Chart ISRG Price Prediction ISRG Intrinsic Value DCF ISRG Earnings Date ISRG Investment Advisor ISRG Fair Price Analyzer ISRG Options Chain ISRG Options Advisor ISRG Options Analysis ISRG Competitors
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