TGLS
Tecnoglass Inc.
FLAT GLASS
Tecnoglass (TGLS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$47.24
+1.79 (+3.94%)
▲
5d:
+10.35%
30d:
+22.77%
90d:
+12.16%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
27/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$36.27 – $42.73
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.0x
STRETCHED
vs 11.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$55.25
+17.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$37.71 / $47.38
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: TGLS is 10.6% above its trading range ($42.73). Market expects 5.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.28
2.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGLS is currently trading at $47.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.27 to $42.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGLS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: TGLS scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.25 (+17.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGLS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: TGLS scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.25 (+17.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$36.27 -
$42.73
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$36.27 -
$42.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$37.71
Resistance Level
$47.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($55.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.8% growth with 19.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 27/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.96
Wall Street Target
$55.25
(+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-62.6%
Profit Margin
9.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 11.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.98
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$52.88
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$55.95
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.29
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 37.6%)
$174.94
(+270%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 37.6%)
$122.97
(+160%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 37.6%)
$103.94
(+120%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.23
Bull Case
$75.87
(+61%)
Analyst growth 51.7%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$68.97
(+46%)
Market implied 51.7%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$30.91
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TGLS)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Traders on StockTwits are bullish on $TGLS after the company reported record revenue of $310.6M, a 19.2% year-over-year increase, which surpassed consensus estimates. The full-year revenue guide was raised to $1.10B to $1.14B.
Key Retail Themes:
Strong revenue growth
Positive earnings surprise
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TGLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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