TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLT ETF Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$79.72
-1.20 (-1.48%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.7%
30d:
+1.05%
90d:
-2.83%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$78.55 â $81.81
Position: FAIR
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$79.72 / $82.42
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TLT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLT is currently trading at $79.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.55 to $81.81.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$78.55 -
$81.81
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$78.55 -
$81.81
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$79.72
Resistance Level
$82.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TLT)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on TLT are bullish (sentiment score +0.44) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 PM
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