TMF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TMF - Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
$29.31
0.01 (0.03%)
▲
5d:
-4.74%
30d:
-4.59%
90d:
-17.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TMF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TMF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TMF is currently trading at $29.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.20 to $31.54.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TMF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TMF scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TMF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TMF scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$30.20 -
$31.54
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.20 -
$31.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.14
Resistance Level
$32.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TMF showing a specific setup today?