TRINET GROUP (TNET) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TNET - TRINET GROUP, INC.
$66.01
-0.20 (-0.30%)
▼
5d:
-4.91%
30d:
-1.23%
90d:
+38.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TNET shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TNET shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.00
Based on 2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TNET is currently trading at $66.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.92 to $69.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNET is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TNET scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNET is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TNET scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$66.92 -
$69.91
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($66.20)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.2% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.92 -
$69.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.87
Resistance Level
$71.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.45
Wall Street Target
$66.20
(+0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.4%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 10.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.42
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$77.28
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$83.62
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.91
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 1.1%)
$102.36
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 1.1%)
$68.24
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 1.1%)
$53.79
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.74
Bull Case
$95.60
(+45%)
Analyst growth 31.3%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$86.91
(+32%)
Market implied 31.3%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$45.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TNET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sidney A Majalya
SELL
775 shares
2026-04-01
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