TS Tenaris S. A. Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)

Tenaris S. A. (TS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$61.27
+0.33 (+0.54%) ▲
5d: +4.11% 30d: +7.02% 90d: +14.65%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (49%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$56.74 – $59.72
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.5x FAIR
vs 14.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$68.48
+11.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$55.33 / $62.22
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.36
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.07
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TS is currently trading at $61.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.74 to $59.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.48 (+11.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $56.74 - $59.72
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 48.6%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $56.74 - $59.72
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $55.33
Resistance Level $62.22
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($68.48)
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.46
Wall Street Target $68.48 (+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 18.6%
Profit Margin 16.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.5 vs 14.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $60.11 (-2%)
2-Year Target $58.96 (-4%)
3-Year Target $57.84 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→14) $61.47 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.3%) $131.55 (+115%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 13.3%) $89.13 (+46%)
Bear: (PE: 11.4, Growth: 13.3%) $75.76 (+24%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.90
Bull Case $78.60 (+28%)
Analyst growth 16.8%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case $71.45 (+17%)
Market implied 16.8%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case $41.62 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 14.3
Stabilization Target: $65.11 (+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.3%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TS)

Bearish 1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on TS are bearish (sentiment score -0.66) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 4:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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