Tenaris S. A. (TS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TS - Tenaris S. A.
$58.23
1.86 (3.30%)
▲
5d:
-1.95%
30d:
+4.21%
90d:
+3.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.87
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TS is currently trading at $58.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.50 to $57.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.96 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.96 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$55.50 -
$57.88
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($64.96)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$55.50 -
$57.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.49
Resistance Level
$59.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.87
Wall Street Target
$64.96
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Profit Margin
15.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.65
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$57.07
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$56.50
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$58.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$115.30
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 11.4%)
$80.52
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 11.4%)
$68.45
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.75
Bull Case
$69.42
(+19%)
Analyst growth 12.0%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$63.11
(+8%)
Market implied 12.0%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$38.33
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$60.04
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 3:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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