Tenaris S. A. (TS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TS - Tenaris S. A.
$57.39
0.47 (0.83%)
▲
5d:
+1.92%
30d:
+7.98%
90d:
-7.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.94
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TS is currently trading at $57.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.96 to $56.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TS scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.91 (+11.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TS scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.91 (+11.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.96 -
$56.38
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($63.91)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.96 -
$56.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.75
Resistance Level
$58.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.83
Wall Street Target
$63.91
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Profit Margin
15.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.59
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$55.79
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$55.01
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$57.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.0%)
$105.34
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$72.22
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$61.39
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.69
Bull Case
$70.42
(+23%)
Analyst growth 12.5%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case
$64.02
(+12%)
Market implied 12.5%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$38.71
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$59.76
(+4.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 2:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:09 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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