Tenaris S. A. (TS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TS - Tenaris S. A.
$55.99
0.34 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
+0.94%
30d:
+0.02%
90d:
+4.07%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.10
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TS is currently trading at $55.99, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.71 to $56.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TS scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.38 (+15.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TS scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.38 (+15.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$54.71 -
$56.78
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($64.38)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.71 -
$56.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.29
Resistance Level
$57.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.46
Wall Street Target
$64.38
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Profit Margin
15.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.81
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$53.66
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$52.54
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$56.21
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.6%)
$114.70
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 10.6%)
$75.68
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 10.6%)
$64.33
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.74
Bull Case
$68.09
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.2%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$61.90
(+11%)
Market implied 11.2%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$37.84
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$59.90
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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