TS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TS - Tenaris S. A.
$58.03
-0.12 (-0.21%)
▼
5d:
-5.87%
30d:
-6.05%
90d:
+1.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.29
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TS is currently trading at $58.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.23 to $63.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$60.23 -
$63.21
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($63.80)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.23 -
$63.21
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.44
Resistance Level
$64.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.18
Wall Street Target
$63.80
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 14.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.16
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$56.30
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$55.46
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$58.27
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.8%)
$108.48
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 6.8%)
$70.63
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 6.8%)
$60.04
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80
Bull Case
$68.88
(+19%)
Analyst growth 7.7%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case
$62.62
(+8%)
Market implied 7.7%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$39.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$60.97
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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