TS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TS - Tenaris S. A.
$64.02
0.17 (0.27%)
▲
5d:
+5.5%
30d:
+2.76%
90d:
+19.44%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TS is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: TS is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.76
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TS is currently trading at $64.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.82 to $63.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$60.82 -
$63.54
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($63.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.82 -
$63.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.44
Resistance Level
$64.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.64
Wall Street Target
$63.80
(-0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.17
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$66.35
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$67.54
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.89
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 6.8%)
$109.13
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 6.8%)
$77.92
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 6.8%)
$66.24
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80
Bull Case
$70.25
(+17%)
Analyst growth 5.3%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$63.87
(+7%)
Market implied 5.3%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$41.26
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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