TUA
Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF
TUA ETF Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$19.11
-0.17 (-0.88%)
▼
5d:
-4.02%
30d:
-0.62%
90d:
-6.64%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (81%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$19.22 – $19.63
Position: OVERSOLD
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$19.11 / $19.93
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TUA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TUA is currently trading at $19.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.22 to $19.63.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TUA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TUA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.22 -
$19.63
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$19.22 -
$19.63
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$19.11
Resistance Level
$19.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 PM
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