TXNM Energy (TXNM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$58.82
-0.01 (-0.02%)
▼
5d:
+0.74%
30d:
+0.43%
90d:
+2.47%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
61/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$58.35 – $58.64
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.1x
FAIR
vs 18.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$60.70
+3.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$57.97 / $59.01
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TXNM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.59
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TXNM is currently trading at $58.82, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.35 to $58.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.1) is in line with its historical norms (18.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXNM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TXNM scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXNM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TXNM scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$58.35 -
$58.64
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$58.35 -
$58.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$57.97
Resistance Level
$59.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($60.70)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.13
Wall Street Target
$60.70
(+3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.2%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 18.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.53
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$58.23
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$57.94
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
$58.81
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.5%)
$94.20
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 13.5%)
$85.98
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 13.5%)
$73.08
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.03
Bull Case
$103.44
(+76%)
Analyst growth 59.8%, PE expands to 31.9
Base Case
$94.03
(+60%)
Market implied 59.8%, PE stable at 29.0
Bear Case
$40.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.1 to 18.4
Stabilization Target:
$59.70
(+1.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TXNM)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user, with 27 followers, ranked $TXNM as the 9th best utility stock based on Stock Meadow’s scoring model, with a score of 66.
Key Retail Themes:
Utility stock performance
Stock Meadow scoring model
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TXNM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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