TXNM Energy (TXNM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TXNM - TXNM Energy, Inc.
$58.41
-0.12 (-0.21%)
▼
5d:
-0.19%
30d:
+0.59%
90d:
+3.12%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
26d
Get Alerted When TXNM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TXNM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TXNM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.86
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TXNM is currently trading at $58.41, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.65 to $58.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 190.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXNM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TXNM scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXNM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TXNM scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$57.65 -
$58.49
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($60.70)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 14% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.65 -
$58.49
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.09
Resistance Level
$58.89
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.96
Wall Street Target
$60.70
(+3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
190.9%
Profit Margin
8.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.0 vs 18.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.88
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$57.36
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$56.85
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$58.54
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.3%)
$96.37
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 13.3%)
$84.87
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.3, Growth: 13.3%)
$72.14
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.84
Bull Case
$113.77
(+95%)
Analyst growth 76.7%, PE expands to 35.0
Base Case
$103.43
(+77%)
Market implied 76.7%, PE stable at 31.8
Bear Case
$39.80
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.0 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$60.15
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TXNM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Electric Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Electric by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NEE
Nextera Energy Inc |
BUY
22 analysts |
$99 | 64 BUY |
|
ETR
Entergy Corporation |
BUY
20 analysts |
$123 | 71 BUY |
|
PPL
PPL Corporation |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$40 | 66 BUY |
|
SO
Southern Company |
SELL
24 analysts |
$99 | 71 BUY |
|
PEG
Public Service Enterpris… |
HOLD
22 analysts |
$85 | 69 BUY |
