UDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UDR - UDR, Inc.
$37.74
0.18 (0.48%)
▲
5d:
-4.21%
30d:
-0.24%
90d:
+10.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UDR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UDR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.69
Based on -15.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UDR is currently trading at $37.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.19 to $38.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 67.4) is in line with its historical norms (65.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.41, while resistance sits at $39.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.41, while resistance sits at $39.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.19 -
$38.86
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.55)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.19 -
$38.86
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.41
Resistance Level
$39.48
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
67.39
Wall Street Target
$40.55
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
151.6%
Profit Margin
27.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
67.4 vs 65.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.04
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$38.35
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$38.65
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 67→66)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.74
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 67.4, Growth: -34.7%)
$27.51
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -34.7%)
$8.89
(-76%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -34.7%)
$7.56
(-80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 25.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$20.66
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case
$18.78
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 25.6
Bear Case
$25.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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