UDR (UDR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UDR - UDR, Inc.
$35.12
-0.02 (-0.06%)
▼
5d:
-3.44%
30d:
-5.67%
90d:
-10.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UDR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UDR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.76
Based on -21.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UDR is currently trading at $35.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.31 to $38.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 62.8) is in line with its historical norms (66.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 90.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UDR scores 7/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.93 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UDR scores 7/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.93 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.31 -
$38.26
Company Quality Score
25/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (7/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.93)
- WARNING: Composite score 25/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.31 -
$38.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.83
Resistance Level
$37.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
62.75
Wall Street Target
$41.93
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
90.9%
Profit Margin
29.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
62.8 vs 66.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.44
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$33.75
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$33.07
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 63→67)
$35.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 62.7, Growth: -46.1%)
$25.62
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -46.1%)
$8.23
(-77%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -46.1%)
$7.00
(-80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58
Bull Case
$19.47
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 24.7
Base Case
$17.70
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case
$24.07
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 62.7 to 66.7
Stabilization Target:
$37.35
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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