UDR (UDR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UDR - UDR, Inc.
$35.04
0.63 (1.83%)
▲
5d:
+3.18%
30d:
+2.76%
90d:
-11.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UDR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UDR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.42
Based on -22.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UDR is currently trading at $35.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.56 to $34.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 62.6) is in line with its historical norms (65.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 90.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.26 (+14.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.26 (+14.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.56 -
$34.50
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding UDR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($40.26)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.56 -
$34.50
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.14
Resistance Level
$35.48
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
62.57
Wall Street Target
$40.26
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
90.9%
Profit Margin
29.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
62.6 vs 65.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.44
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$33.86
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$33.28
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 63→66)
$35.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 62.6, Growth: -48.5%)
$25.54
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -48.5%)
$8.11
(-77%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -48.5%)
$6.89
(-80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.61
Bull Case
$18.93
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case
$17.21
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case
$23.40
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 62.6 to 65.9
Stabilization Target:
$36.90
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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