UDR UDR, Inc. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS Best REITs Stocks 2026 →

UDR (UDR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$36.66
-0.05 (-0.14%) ▼
5d: +2.03% 30d: +7.76% 90d: -1.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$33.84 – $36.21
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
65.5x FAIR
vs 65.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$39.69
+8.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$34.65 / $37.85
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UDR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.90
Based on -24.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.80
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: UDR is currently trading at $36.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.84 to $36.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 65.5) is in line with its historical norms (65.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 462.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $34.65, while resistance sits at $37.85.

Market Sentiment: UDR scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $33.84 - $36.21
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $33.84 - $36.21
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $34.65
Resistance Level $37.85
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($39.69)
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 65.46
Wall Street Target $39.69 (+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 462.6%
Profit Margin 39.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 65.5 vs 65.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.59 (0%)
2-Year Target $36.51 (0%)
3-Year Target $36.44 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 65→66) $36.63 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 65.5, Growth: -52.5%) $26.73 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -52.5%) $8.11 (-78%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: -52.5%) $6.89 (-81%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.13
Bull Case $20.19 (-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case $18.35 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case $24.96 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 65.5 to 65.8
Stabilization Target: $36.85 (+0.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +0.5%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (UDR)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish financial analyst on StockTwits expresses optimism about $UDR's price action, identifying it as a good entry point with strong support and favorable risk-reward potential.
Key Retail Themes: Bullish price action and entry point Strong support at current price level
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 12:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive UDR Research Pages
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