UDR (UDR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UDR - UDR, Inc.
$33.68
0.13 (0.39%)
▲
5d:
+0.39%
30d:
-8.65%
90d:
-18.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UDR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UDR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.74
Based on -21.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UDR is currently trading at $33.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.85 to $36.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 60.1) is in line with its historical norms (66.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 90.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.45 (+23.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.45 (+23.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$33.85 -
$36.91
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
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Holding UDR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($41.45)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.85 -
$36.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.22
Resistance Level
$34.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
60.14
Wall Street Target
$41.45
(+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
90.9%
Profit Margin
29.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
60.1 vs 66.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.60
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$31.56
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$30.55
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 60→66)
$33.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 60.1, Growth: -46.3%)
$24.55
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -46.3%)
$8.33
(-75%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -46.3%)
$7.08
(-79%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58
Bull Case
$18.45
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 23.4
Base Case
$16.78
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case
$22.81
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 60.1 to 66.3
Stabilization Target:
$37.13
(+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 7:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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