Camden Property Trust (CPT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$99.09
-0.80 (-0.80%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.16%
30d:
+1.11%
90d:
-10.3%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (70%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$96.98 â $101.57
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
215.4x
STRETCHED
vs 88.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$110.24
+11.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$97.83 / $106.61
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CPT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 34.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.50
Based on -38.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPT is currently trading at $99.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $96.98 to $101.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 215.4) compared to its historical average (88.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 34.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $97.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $110.24 (+11.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $97.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $110.24 (+11.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$96.98 -
$101.57
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$96.98 -
$101.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$97.83
Resistance Level
$106.61
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($110.24)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 34.8% growth expectation is conservative given 771% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
215.41
Wall Street Target
$110.24
(+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
771.3%
Profit Margin
71.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+34.8% premium
PE vs Historical
215.4 vs 88.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+34.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$133.57
(+35%)
2-Year Target
$180.06
(+82%)
3-Year Target
$242.72
(+145%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 215â88)
PE COMPRESSION
$99.15
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 215.4, Growth: -80.0%)
$72.24
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -80.0%)
$6.66
(-93%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -80.0%)
$5.66
(-94%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.70
Bull Case
$54.94
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$49.94
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$67.93
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CPT)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Despite Camden Property Trust's underperformance in the past year, StockTwits messages express bullish sentiment, while a recent Yahoo Finance article suggests a cautious outlook from Wall Street.
Key Retail Themes:
Market performance and sentiment
Wall Street outlook
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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