Camden Property Trust (CPT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPT - Camden Property Trust
$103.01
0.51 (0.50%)
▲
5d:
-2.45%
30d:
-4.95%
90d:
-9.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.65
Based on -24.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPT is currently trading at $103.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.80 to $110.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 94.5) compared to its historical average (84.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CPT scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.97 (+13.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CPT scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.97 (+13.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$105.80 -
$110.24
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($116.97)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with -0.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$105.80 -
$110.24
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.09
Resistance Level
$106.56
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
94.50
Wall Street Target
$116.97
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.7%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
94.5 vs 84.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.13
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$111.42
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$115.87
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 95→84)
PE COMPRESSION
$102.99
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 94.5, Growth: -52.5%)
$75.09
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -52.5%)
$16.03
(-84%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -52.5%)
$13.62
(-87%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 34.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.98
Bull Case
$56.38
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 37.8
Base Case
$51.25
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 34.4
Bear Case
$69.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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