Camden Property Trust (CPT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPT - Camden Property Trust
$102.74
2.55 (2.55%)
▲
5d:
+4.63%
30d:
+5.18%
90d:
-9.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.90
Based on -31.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPT is currently trading at $102.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $96.66 to $100.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 133.6) compared to its historical average (84.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $102.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CPT scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.78 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $102.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CPT scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.78 (+11.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$96.66 -
$100.65
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($111.78)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 16.3% growth with -0.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$96.66 -
$100.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$96.41
Resistance Level
$102.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
133.59
Wall Street Target
$111.78
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.7%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+16.3% premium
PE vs Historical
133.6 vs 84.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+16.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$116.52
(+16%)
2-Year Target
$135.51
(+35%)
3-Year Target
$157.60
(+57%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 134→85)
PE COMPRESSION
$100.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 133.6, Growth: -67.3%)
$73.04
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -67.3%)
$10.86
(-89%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -67.3%)
$9.23
(-91%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.03
Bull Case
$54.87
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 36.2
Base Case
$49.89
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 32.9
Bear Case
$67.84
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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