Camden Property Trust (CPT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPT - Camden Property Trust
$95.60
-1.02 (-1.06%)
▼
5d:
-2.57%
30d:
-9.42%
90d:
-18.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.65
Based on -24.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPT is currently trading at $95.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.88 to $107.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 88.6) is in line with its historical norms (84.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $95.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CPT scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.42 (+19.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $95.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CPT scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.42 (+19.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$99.88 -
$107.04
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($115.42)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with -0.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.88 -
$107.04
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$95.63
Resistance Level
$101.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
88.64
Wall Street Target
$115.42
(+19.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.7%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
88.6 vs 84.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.17
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$99.74
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$101.33
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 89→85)
PE COMPRESSION
$96.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 88.6, Growth: -52.5%)
$70.44
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -52.5%)
$16.21
(-83%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -52.5%)
$13.78
(-86%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.98
Bull Case
$53.20
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 35.7
Base Case
$48.36
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$65.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 12:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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