CPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPT - Camden Property Trust
$110.81
-2.48 (-2.19%)
▼
5d:
-2.57%
30d:
-4.19%
90d:
+5.51%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 21.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 21.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.16
Based on -30.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPT is currently trading at $110.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.62 to $115.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 141.2) compared to its historical average (78.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 21.7% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $108.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $108.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$111.62 -
$115.83
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($116.12)
- BEARISH: Market expects 21.7% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.62 -
$115.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.96
Resistance Level
$116.84
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
141.16
Wall Street Target
$116.13
(+4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Profit Margin
24.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+21.7% premium
PE vs Historical
141.2 vs 78.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+21.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$134.86
(+22%)
2-Year Target
$164.12
(+48%)
3-Year Target
$199.73
(+80%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 141→78)
PE COMPRESSION
$110.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 141.2, Growth: -65.8%)
$80.78
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -65.8%)
$11.86
(-89%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -65.8%)
$10.08
(-91%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.49
Bull Case
$62.31
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 35.7
Base Case
$56.64
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$77.04
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Laurie Baker
SELL
2168 shares
2026-02-18
Michael P Gallagher
SELL
169 shares
2026-02-18
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