MAA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$118.86
-0.54 (-0.45%)
▼
5d:
+1.3%
30d:
+2.0%
90d:
-10.18%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (49%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$115.69 – $119.58
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
38.8x
FAIR
vs 38.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$134.44
+13.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$115.90 / $124.51
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MAA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.48
Based on -6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAA is currently trading at $118.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $115.69 to $119.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.8) is in line with its historical norms (38.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $115.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.44 (+13.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $115.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.44 (+13.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$115.69 -
$119.58
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$115.69 -
$119.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$115.90
Resistance Level
$124.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($134.44)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.75
Wall Street Target
$134.44
(+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.9%
Profit Margin
17.4%
PE vs Historical
38.8 vs 38.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$118.86
(0%)
2-Year Target
$118.86
(0%)
3-Year Target
$118.86
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→39)
$119.00
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.8, Growth: -16.0%)
$86.65
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -16.0%)
$44.41
(-63%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -16.0%)
$37.74
(-68%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 36.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.30
Bull Case
$122.07
(+3%)
Analyst growth -7.1%, PE expands to 39.8
Base Case
$110.97
(-7%)
Market implied -7.1%, PE stable at 36.2
Bear Case
$81.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MAA)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
MAA reported Q3 earnings with a miss on EPS, but showed positive revenue growth and occupancy rates. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell),
Key Retail Themes:
Positive revenue growth in Non-Same Store Communities and Commercial Property/Land
Missed EPS estimates in Q3
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 12:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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