UFP Industries (UFPI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UFPI - UFP Industries, Inc. Common Stock
$80.56
0.36 (0.45%)
▲
5d:
-3.17%
30d:
-12.22%
90d:
-4.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UFPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: UFPI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$161.73
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.42
19.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UFPI is currently trading at $80.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.48 to $91.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $79.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UFPI scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.60 (+27.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $79.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UFPI scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.60 (+27.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$83.48 -
$91.51
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.4% below Wall St target ($102.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.48 -
$91.51
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.38
Resistance Level
$86.49
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.57
Wall Street Target
$102.60
(+27.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.0%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.14
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$75.80
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$73.52
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$80.75
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 22.0%)
$202.58
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 22.0%)
$146.31
(+82%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 22.0%)
$124.37
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.28
Bull Case
$113.99
(+42%)
Analyst growth 29.2%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$103.62
(+29%)
Market implied 29.2%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$54.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$88.48
(+9.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UFPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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