UFPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UFPI - UFP Industries, Inc. Common Stock
$88.80
0.68 (0.77%)
â˛
5d:
-1.19%
30d:
+3.05%
90d:
+10.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UFPI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UFPI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$168.84
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.84
15.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UFPI is currently trading at $88.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.40 to $91.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $86.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UFPI scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.00 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $86.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UFPI scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.00 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$86.40 -
$91.69
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($102.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.40 -
$91.69
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.58
Resistance Level
$93.68
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.76
Wall Street Target
$102.00
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.0%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.59
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$87.07
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$86.54
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â16)
$87.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 23.5%)
$211.19
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 23.5%)
$165.81
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 23.5%)
$140.93
(+60%)
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Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.33
Bull Case
$123.89
(+40%)
Analyst growth 29.2%, PE expands to 22.2
Base Case
$112.63
(+27%)
Market implied 29.2%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$59.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$89.48
(+1.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UFPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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