UFPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UFPI - UFP Industries, Inc. Common Stock
$80.28
-1.04 (-1.28%)
▼
5d:
-2.9%
30d:
-0.04%
90d:
-18.49%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UFPI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UFPI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$152.73
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.83
15.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UFPI is currently trading at $80.28, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.92 to $88.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.00 (+28.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $77.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.00 (+28.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$78.92 -
$88.06
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.3% below Wall St target ($103.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.92 -
$88.06
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.89
Resistance Level
$84.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.60
Wall Street Target
$103.00
(+28.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.4%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 16.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.71
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$75.22
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$72.82
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$80.32
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 19.3%)
$204.64
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 19.3%)
$136.33
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 19.3%)
$115.88
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.59
Bull Case
$109.45
(+34%)
Analyst growth 20.3%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$99.50
(+22%)
Market implied 20.3%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$56.22
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 16.1
Stabilization Target:
$88.55
(+10.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UFPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
Matthew J Missad
SELL
11000 shares
2025-12-11
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