UFPI
UFP Industries, Inc. Common Stock
SAWMILLS & PLANTING MILLS, GENERAL
UFP Industries (UFPI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$80.11
-0.68 (-0.84%)
âŧ
5d:
-7.18%
30d:
+5.62%
90d:
-12.23%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (73%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$76.84 â $82.44
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.9x
FAIR
vs 15.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$93.60
+16.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$77.26 / $87.80
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UFPI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Get Alerted When UFPI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.75
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UFPI is currently trading at $80.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.84 to $82.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (15.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $77.26, while resistance sits at $87.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.60 (+16.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $77.26, while resistance sits at $87.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.60 (+16.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$76.84 -
$82.44
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$76.84 -
$82.44
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$77.26
Resistance Level
$87.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($93.60)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.2% growth with 11.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.87
Wall Street Target
$93.60
(+16.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.6%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 15.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.47
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$86.98
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$90.63
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â16)
PE COMPRESSION
$80.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.0%)
$112.26
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 8.0%)
$101.00
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 8.0%)
$85.85
(+7%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.14
Bull Case
$96.24
(+20%)
Analyst growth 8.3%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$87.49
(+9%)
Market implied 8.3%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$54.94
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share UFPI Analysis
Share this live UFPI analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (UFPI)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
UFP Industries (UFPI) reported Q3 2026 earnings, with revenue beating estimates but EPS missing. The company's revenue grew 11.1% YoY to $1.73 billion, while EPS came in at $1.05 vs. $1.19 estimated. The company's financial position remains strong.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings report
financial position
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is UFPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Lumber & Wood Production Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Lumber & Wood Production by analyst ratings.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive UFPI Research Pages
