Why is UGP Down Today?

UGP
$5.35
▼ -2.55% ($-0.14)
Last updated: Nov 10, 2026 7:30 PM ET (696 min ago)

About Ultrapar Participacoes S.A.

Ultrapar Participacoes SA engages in the investment of its own capital in services, commercial, and industrial activities, through the subscription or acquisition of shares of other companies. The Company has three business segments: Ultragaz distributes LPG in the segments: bulk, comprising condomi...

Sector: Natural Gas Distribution
Market Cap: $4.23B
Forward P/E: 9.9
52-Week Range: $3.60 - $8.28
Employees: 10,957

Overall Confidence: 50%

50% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

MOMENTUM 50% Confidence
🎯 UGP showing strong bearish momentum
UGP is down 2.6% today on 0.4x average volume. The move appears to be driven by general market sentiment and momentum traders.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.4x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

Market Comparison

UGP is significantly underperforming the market (-2.2% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
-0.37%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
-0.68%
UGP
This Stock
-2.55%
vs S&P 500: -2.18%
vs Nasdaq: -1.87%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, UGP is expected to trade between:
$5.19 - $5.46

Key Level to Watch

$5.08 support
Watch for breakdown below $5.35

🔔 Get UGP Alerts

We'll notify you when UGP's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Nov 10, 2026 7:30 PM (696 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Historical Context

UGP has moved more than 3.0% down on 17 occasions in the past year.

47.1%
Continuation Rate
8/17 times continued down
+0.27%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Oct 28, 2026 (-4.4%) → Next day: -2.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is UGP stock down today?

UGP is down 2.6% today on 0.4x average volume. The move appears to be driven by general market sentiment and momentum traders.

Is UGP stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, UGP shows 50% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the UGP stock price target?

UGP is currently trading at $5.35. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $5.19 - $5.46. See long-term price prediction →

Will UGP stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that UGP's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $5.08 (support).

Is UGP stock oversold or overbought?

UGP's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 19.4. This indicates oversold conditions - the stock may be due for a bounce as selling pressure appears exhausted.

What is the momentum for UGP stock?

UGP's 10-day momentum indicator is at -1.01. Negative momentum - the stock has mild downward pressure which may continue short-term.

Is UGP outperforming or underperforming the market?

UGP (-2.55%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-2.2% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is down -0.37%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is down -0.68%.

What does MACD indicate for UGP?

UGP's MACD (-0.55) is currently below the signal line (-0.42), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 43.5) is strong.

Is UGP in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, UGP is in a bearish trend. The price ($5.35) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($6.61) and 50-day SMA ($7.14). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

Check Why Another Stock is Moving

Enter any ticker symbol to see real-time analysis

Popular: AAPL TSLA NVDA MSFT META AMZN GOOGL